England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Huddersfield
52.0%
24.8%
23.2%
-119
+365
-125
+360
2
1
-0.63824-0.63726-0.65479
Sheffield Wednesday
Queens Park Rangers
35.4%
38.9%
25.6%
+228
+125
+220
+125
1
4
-0.85513-0.86074-0.94292
Luton Town
Wycombe Wanderers
39.3%
34.8%
25.9%
+133
+255
+120
+250
3
1
-0.85346-0.82650-0.93458
Brentford
Preston North End
48.4%
27.6%
24.0%
-111
+327
-115
+325
5
0
-0.68341-0.67627-0.72594
Rotherham United
Huddersfield
40.1%
34.6%
25.3%
+195
+150
+200
+150
0
0
-1.04022-1.05699-0.98691
Middlesbrough
Barnsley
34.8%
38.5%
26.7%
+297
+107
+290
+100
0
2
-0.76048-0.74244-0.95469
Stoke City
Birmingham City
47.0%
28.3%
24.7%
+175
+185
+185
+180
0
2
-1.08987-1.07014-1.26097
Coventry City
Bournemouth
23.6%
52.6%
23.8%
+489
-150
+515
-165
1
4
-0.54190-0.52440-0.64270
Nottingham Forest
Bristol City
33.1%
40.3%
26.6%
+123
+256
+120
+260
0
0
-1.06951-1.07392-1.00698
Norwich City
Derby County
46.6%
27.4%
26.0%
-150
+451
-175
+475
1
0
-0.53590-0.50195-0.76441
Blackburn
Cardiff City
35.9%
39.2%
24.8%
+212
+158
+185
+160
2
2
-1.05298-1.04829-0.97952
Swansea City
Millwall
42.5%
30.7%
26.7%
+147
+220
+175
+175
3
0
-0.94538-1.06025-0.85482
Reading
Watford
27.4%
48.0%
24.6%
+420
-130
+400
-125
0
2
-0.60375-0.63626-0.73451
Huddersfield
Norwich City
20.4%
58.2%
21.4%
+720
-222
+675
-230
0
7
-0.39530-0.40810-0.54137
Birmingham City
Brentford
16.3%
66.0%
17.7%
+480
-154
+525
-165
0
0
-1.16882-1.20132-1.11438
Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday
39.4%
32.9%
27.7%
+171
+187
+165
+185
0
5
-1.09862-1.09688-1.11036
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.