England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Preston North End
Swansea City
25.0%
52.1%
22.9%
+375
-111
+330
-105
1
0
-1.58100-1.50530-1.38529
Bournemouth
Blackburn
39.6%
33.1%
27.4%
+128
+225
+120
+225
2
0
-0.85967-0.83529-0.92672
Bristol City
Coventry City
34.8%
35.6%
29.5%
+280
+114
+295
+100
1
3
-0.79642-0.74354-1.03148
Barnsley
Luton Town
34.0%
37.7%
28.3%
+114
+262
+125
+235
2
1
-0.79365-0.86034-1.07878
Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest
30.4%
43.3%
26.3%
+185
+165
+185
+155
1
3
-1.00986-0.99013-0.83609
Derby County
Reading
30.1%
43.3%
26.6%
+275
+112
+250
+120
1
3
-0.79109-0.83529-0.83612
Millwall
Stoke City
32.7%
38.3%
29.0%
+292
+114
+265
+120
2
1
-1.40809-1.34458-1.11819
Watford
Middlesbrough
44.3%
28.4%
27.3%
+114
+282
+120
+255
1
1
-1.08572-1.08002-1.03680
Brentford
Huddersfield
55.5%
23.3%
21.2%
-107
+341
-125
+365
1
1
-1.10486-1.11331-1.02236
Swansea City
Birmingham City
57.6%
21.8%
20.6%
+147
+225
+145
+220
0
1
-1.21318-1.21574-1.52349
Reading
Barnsley
37.5%
34.5%
28.0%
+241
+127
+250
+120
1
1
-1.05938-1.07203-1.02211
Blackburn
Wycombe Wanderers
47.5%
28.1%
24.4%
-120
+365
-130
+380
0
1
-1.56647-1.61868-1.26791
Middlesbrough
Bournemouth
24.0%
52.8%
23.1%
+295
+100
+300
+100
1
3
-0.73689-0.74482-0.63815
Stoke City
Bristol City
34.3%
37.6%
28.1%
+122
+255
+110
+270
2
0
-0.83296-0.79467-1.07040
Luton Town
Derby County
32.1%
39.8%
28.1%
+265
+125
+250
+125
0
2
-0.84618-0.86232-0.92078
Rotherham United
Millwall
31.4%
41.1%
27.5%
+235
+135
+250
+130
0
1
-0.89509-0.87508-0.88970
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.