England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Stoke City
Charlton Athletic 		42.5%
30.3%		27.2%
+180
+180
+180
+165
1.34
1.09		2.43
o2¼+102
u2¼-121

Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Middlesbrough
Reading		30.5%
42.7%		26.7%
+210
+153
+210
+150
2
0		-0.79989-0.80647-0.55746
Barnsley
Bristol City		30.9%
42.2%		26.9%
-101
+300
-105
+310
1
0		-0.40381-0.38946-0.54829
Wycombe Wanderers
Millwall		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+385
-125
+400
-130
0
0		-0.81123-0.82240
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest		37.4%
34.2%		28.5%
+190
+161
+195
+165
0
1		-0.64186-0.64095-1.07394
Bournemouth
Queens Park Rangers		50.0%
26.8%		23.3%
+131
+210
+130
+220
1
2		-0.85099-0.87184-1.31845
Brentford
Coventry City		47.9%
26.9%		25.3%
+120
+278
-125
+360
0
2		-0.99997-1.26851-1.31442
Derby County
Watford		24.0%
52.0%		24.0%
+400
-122
+400
-125
1
2		-0.31038-0.30748-0.65331
Rotherham United
Bournemouth		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+375
-130
+380
-135
0
1		-0.31662-0.30942
Blackburn
Barnsley		40.2%
32.7%		27.1%
+180
+156
+180
+160
1
2		-0.64934-0.65678-1.11734
Norwich City
Coventry City		44.3%
28.0%		27.7%
-144
+414
-135
+410
2
0		-0.28493-0.29366-0.32800
Birmingham City
Millwall		23.8%
52.8%		23.4%
+330
+120
+300
+120
0
2		-0.41318-0.43826-0.63841
Brentford
Queens Park Rangers		53.5%
25.2%		21.4%
-105
+300
-120
+325
1
2		-1.11474-1.19942-1.37999
Nottingham Forest
Swansea City		24.8%
51.0%		24.3%
+320
+100
+340
-105
0
1		-0.38948-0.36722-0.67378
Reading
Bristol City		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+116
+270
+110
+270
2
0		-0.45982-0.44953-0.72299
Barnsley
Brentford		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+439
-143
+460
-155
2
0		-1.42837-1.48250-1.48470
Middlesbrough
Derby County		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+179
+180
+185
+175
1
2		-0.69493-0.67544-0.77542
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.36622 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.34396 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.49424
-0.12802
-0.15028

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.