England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jun 5, 2026
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Preston North End
Cardiff City
30.9%
43.3%
25.8%
+306
+102
+315
-105
0
4
-0.40383-0.38556-0.83619
Swansea City
Huddersfield
52.2%
24.9%
22.8%
+125
+260
+120
+260
1
4
-0.95550-0.96940-1.38950
Luton Town
Stoke City
29.4%
44.7%
26.0%
+265
+125
+275
+120
0
3
-0.48023-0.46164-0.80629
Birmingham City
Sheffield Wednesday
27.2%
47.1%
25.8%
+196
+172
+200
+170
1
0
-0.73633-0.74722-0.63643
Middlesbrough
Reading
30.5%
42.7%
26.7%
+210
+153
+210
+150
2
0
-0.79989-0.80647-0.55746
Barnsley
Bristol City
30.9%
42.2%
26.9%
-101
+300
-105
+310
1
0
-0.40381-0.38946-0.54829
Wycombe Wanderers
Millwall
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+385
-125
+400
-130
0
0
-0.81123-0.82240
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest
37.4%
34.2%
28.5%
+190
+161
+195
+165
0
1
-0.64186-0.64095-1.07394
Bournemouth
Queens Park Rangers
50.0%
26.8%
23.3%
+131
+210
+130
+220
1
2
-0.85099-0.87184-1.31845
Brentford
Coventry City
47.9%
26.9%
25.3%
+120
+278
-125
+360
0
2
-0.99997-1.26851-1.31442
Derby County
Watford
24.0%
52.0%
24.0%
+400
-122
+400
-125
1
2
-0.31038-0.30748-0.65331
Rotherham United
Bournemouth
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
+375
-130
+380
-135
0
1
-0.31662-0.30942
Blackburn
Barnsley
40.2%
32.7%
27.1%
+180
+156
+180
+160
1
2
-0.64934-0.65678-1.11734
Norwich City
Coventry City
44.3%
28.0%
27.7%
-144
+414
-135
+410
2
0
-0.28493-0.29366-0.32800
Birmingham City
Millwall
23.8%
52.8%
23.4%
+330
+120
+300
+120
0
2
-0.41318-0.43826-0.63841
Brentford
Queens Park Rangers
53.5%
25.2%
21.4%
-105
+300
-120
+325
1
2
-1.11474-1.19942-1.37999
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.