England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+240
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+260

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+150
+165

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3-105
u3-108

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+263
+100

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-114
u2½-105

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+150
+180

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Millwall
Barnsley		36.2%
34.0%		29.8%
+286
+115
+275
+115
1
2		-0.44276-0.45320-0.72513
Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham City		40.2%
33.1%		26.8%
+165
+182
+165
+180
1
2		-0.72472-0.72105-0.79540
Coventry City
Blackburn		28.6%
45.7%		25.8%
+276
+118
+265
+115
1
1		-0.72984-0.72776-0.72051
Watford
Bournemouth		32.1%
38.9%		29.0%
+163
+175
+160
+180
0
1		-0.71570-0.73089-0.60175
Nottingham Forest
Derby County		34.0%
35.9%		30.1%
+205
+163
+210
+160
1
1		-0.69588-0.69701-0.69350
Cardiff City
Bournemouth		27.8%
47.8%		24.4%
+233
+135
+235
+130
2
1		-0.88254-0.89875-1.00043
Watford
Blackburn		38.4%
33.4%		28.2%
+125
+239
+120
+240
3
2		-0.50906-0.49900-0.62652
Queens Park Rangers
Preston North End		31.0%
43.7%		25.4%
+145
+191
+150
+190
0
0		-0.69684-0.69590-0.70786
Stoke City
Barnsley		37.0%
34.4%		28.6%
+249
+130
+225
+135
0
2		-0.50624-0.54411-0.72927
Coventry City
Swansea City		24.4%
51.7%		23.9%
+287
+120
+280
+115
0
1		-0.45011-0.44838-0.38655
Millwall
Luton Town		37.3%
33.4%		29.2%
+152
+205
+160
+215
1
1		-0.69770-0.69774-0.69466
Nottingham Forest
Rotherham United		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+171
+180
+170
+180
1
0		-0.67694-0.67513
Reading
Wycombe Wanderers		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
-119
+390
-115
+330
0
1		-1.29817-1.19392
Bristol City
Middlesbrough		34.9%
36.2%		28.9%
+475
-152
+540
-160
3
1		-1.49700-1.59706-0.71131
Norwich City
Birmingham City		57.4%
21.5%		21.1%
-164
+500
-165
+480
3
1		-0.23767-0.24443-0.31814
Huddersfield
Derby County		29.8%
43.2%		27.0%
+260
+120
+265
+115
0
2		-0.47692-0.46313-0.52476
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.