England Championship Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/04/2023 03:00 PM	Cardiff City Stoke City	34.2% 38.2%	27.6%	+265 +110 +280 +105	0 0	-1.21285-1.25727	-1.28844
10/30/2023 08:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Coventry City	45.2% 27.7%	27.1%	+221 +142 +215 +135	2 0	-1.19099-1.19683	-0.79398
10/28/2023 02:00 PM	Preston North End Hull City	30.1% 43.8%	26.2%	+290 +105 +285 +100	0 1	-0.75298-0.74156	-0.82656
10/28/2023 02:00 PM	Bristol City Cardiff City	29.3% 44.4%	26.3%	+260 +108 +270 +105	0 2	-0.77568-0.76873	-0.81288
10/28/2023 02:00 PM	Swansea City Blackburn	41.1% 31.6%	27.3%	+261 +103 +265 -110	1 0	-1.31004-1.34442	-0.88846
10/28/2023 02:00 PM	Millwall Watford	22.2% 50.9%	26.8%	+298 +115 +285 +110	2 2	-1.21530-1.19942	-1.31535
10/28/2023 02:00 PM	Stoke City Middlesbrough	35.9% 34.8%	29.3%	+358 -129 +340 -130	2 0	-1.55656-1.53252	-1.02457
10/28/2023 11:30 AM	Huddersfield Leeds United	8.4% 76.3%	15.2%	+870 -276 +750 -300	1 4	-0.32168-0.33756	-0.27034
10/25/2023 07:00 PM	Leeds United Stoke City	59.3% 18.2%	22.5%	-115 +300 -125 +320	0 1	-1.43999-1.48709	-1.70238
10/25/2023 06:45 PM	Coventry City Rotherham United	30.7% 41.5%	27.8%	-135 +380 -145 +400	0 2	-1.62384-1.65973	-0.87998
10/25/2023 06:45 PM	Hull City Birmingham City	50.8% 24.5%	24.7%	+208 +152 +190 +150	2 0	-1.15185-1.11590	-0.67698
10/24/2023 07:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers West Bromwich Albion	18.9% 59.4%	21.7%	+471 -148 +440 -155	0 2	-0.54607-0.54611	-0.52022
10/24/2023 06:45 PM	Watford Swansea City	30.6% 40.4%	29.0%	+199 +157 +200 +145	1 0	-1.12061-1.14662	-1.18290
10/24/2023 06:45 PM	Middlesbrough Norwich City	18.2% 57.4%	24.4%	+156 +176 +150 +170	2 1	-0.96729-0.96333	-1.70254
10/24/2023 06:45 PM	Blackburn Millwall	35.3% 35.6%	29.1%	+174 +172 +165 +165	2 1	-1.03350-1.02223	-1.04143
10/24/2023 06:45 PM	Cardiff City Huddersfield	46.2% 27.8%	26.0%	+214 +153 +205 +150	4 0	-1.16729-1.16437	-0.77141

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.