England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+240
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+247

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+157
+155

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3+100
u3-120

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+224
+117

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-112
u2½-108

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+145
+189

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Derby County		31.9%
38.5%		29.6%
+120
+255
+140
+205
5
3		-0.85060-0.92637-1.14241
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers		37.5%
35.2%		27.3%
+172
+163
+195
+160
1
1		-1.20401-1.17655-1.30001
Blackburn
West Bromwich Albion		28.5%
45.6%		25.9%
+325
-115
+330
-115
0
1		-0.69213-0.67749-0.78450
Derby County
Stoke City		27.3%
45.4%		27.3%
+280
+111
+280
+120
1
3		-0.80466-0.82794-0.78931
Swansea City
Middlesbrough		49.3%
24.3%		26.5%
+260
+112
+300
+100
0
1		-0.80701-0.73224-1.41527
Millwall
Norwich City		21.2%
52.3%		26.5%
+235
+125
+260
+115
2
1		-1.25836-1.32584-1.55202
Hull City
Coventry City		36.4%
35.2%		28.4%
+375
-139
+365
-135
0
0		-1.37888-1.38633-1.25744
Middlesbrough
Coventry City		31.8%
38.6%		29.6%
+205
+117
+215
+115
0
2		-0.83552-0.81353-0.95143
Preston North End
Bristol City		30.8%
41.7%		27.4%
+300
-104
+325
-120
2
2		-1.26564-1.35810-1.29382
Stoke City
Derby County		36.8%
34.1%		29.1%
+310
+125
+330
+115
0
0		-1.05028-1.10633-1.23526
Luton Town
West Bromwich Albion		19.7%
57.2%		23.0%
+130
+200
+135
+200
3
5		-1.15900-1.14621-0.55781
Cardiff City
Norwich City		23.0%
51.6%		25.4%
+440
-190
+375
-165
2
4		-0.48357-0.52538-0.66101
Millwall
Burnley		14.9%
62.3%		22.8%
+500
-195
+520
-180
1
3		-0.47768-0.49163-0.47348
Bristol City
Leeds United		12.5%
68.7%		18.7%
+700
-255
+725
-260
0
4		-0.37917-0.37589-0.37516
West Bromwich Albion
Cardiff City		38.6%
34.3%		27.1%
+235
+119
+260
+110
0
0		-1.22857-1.26012-1.30479
Swansea City
Millwall		44.0%
27.7%		28.4%
+220
+136
+225
+135
0
1		-0.92078-0.90387-1.28540
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.92070 
Sportsbooks30-0-1 (0.667)3 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81619
0.10451

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.