England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Swansea City
Preston North End 		48.2%
25.6%		26.2%
+235
+126
+245
+125
1.48
1.00		2.48
o2-121
u2ΒΌ-128

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 4, 2025
Games for Nov 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Blackburn
Cardiff City		34.2%
38.9%		26.9%
+195
+135
+205
+130
3
1		-1.14294-1.16632-1.07365
Burnley
West Bromwich Albion		46.7%
26.5%		26.7%
+210
+145
+220
+140
0
0		-1.16072-1.18185-1.31875
Cardiff City
Luton Town		41.6%
31.5%		26.9%
+310
-115
+370
-135
0
1		-0.68443-0.60347-1.15664
Derby County
Coventry City		31.1%
39.4%		29.5%
+500
-180
+460
-155
2
1		-1.85253-1.76469-1.16825
Stoke City
Blackburn		29.2%
44.4%		26.4%
+230
+115
+240
+115
2
0		-1.25432-1.26773-1.23114
Leeds United
Millwall		58.4%
18.1%		23.5%
-120
+345
-110
+350
0
1		-1.55932-1.55197-1.71036
Watford
Swansea City		30.6%
40.4%		29.0%
+275
-105
+300
-115
0
1		-0.72054-0.67598-0.90656
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers		35.6%
36.3%		28.1%
-120
+300
-105
+285
4
1		-0.66980-0.71756-1.03204
Burnley
Millwall		54.3%
20.0%		25.8%
+180
+170
+185
+175
0
1		-1.06311-1.05834-1.61154
Bristol City
Preston North End		33.6%
38.4%		28.0%
+185
+156
+200
+150
3
1		-1.11438-1.14816-1.09061
Coventry City
Middlesbrough		31.2%
39.3%		29.5%
+310
-125
+330
-135
3
0		-1.46850-1.50828-1.16520
Norwich City
Cardiff City		42.7%
29.6%		27.6%
+200
+125
+165
+155
1
2		-0.86869-0.98602-1.21743
Derby County
Stoke City		27.3%
45.4%		27.3%
+205
+135
+240
+115
1
2		-0.90084-0.81744-0.78931
West Bromwich Albion
Luton Town		48.3%
26.0%		25.7%
+169
+160
+150
+180
1
1		-1.25162-1.27379-1.35934
Middlesbrough
Norwich City		18.2%
57.4%		24.4%
+140
+180
+130
+195
3
3		-1.32096-1.33120-1.40997
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion		27.1%
47.6%		25.3%
+320
-119
+365
-120
0
0		-1.31781-1.33865-1.37520
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-1-0 (0.750)0-0.91516 
Sportsbooks43-1-0 (0.750)0-0.90276 
DRatings41-3-0 (0.250)0-1.22770
-0.31254
-0.32494

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.