England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+245
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+247

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+157
+155

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3+100
u3-120

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+224
+117

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-112
u2½-108

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+145
+189

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Derby County
Hull City		27.9%
45.9%		26.2%
+235
+136
+255
+135
1
0		-1.27275-1.31770-1.27733
Watford
Blackburn		39.5%
32.3%		28.2%
+420
-155
+440
-150
1
2		-0.56252-0.56138-1.12871
Norwich City
Middlesbrough		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+390
-165
+440
-175
0
0		-1.47924-1.52033-1.30195
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers		64.8%
14.8%		20.4%
-125
+400
-115
+320
5
0		-0.63626-0.67523-0.43397
Coventry City
Luton Town		33.7%
37.0%		29.3%
+215
+140
+190
+150
0
1		-0.92103-0.96748-0.99360
Stoke City
Leeds United		13.4%
67.2%		19.4%
+900
-375
+1100
-410
0
6		-0.30526-0.26946-0.39729
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion		21.0%
54.8%		24.2%
+310
+105
+355
-115
3
1		-1.46387-1.56695-1.56284
Preston North End
Hull City		30.1%
43.8%		26.2%
+320
-110
+315
-105
1
2		-0.70114-0.71943-0.82656
Bristol City
Luton Town		37.4%
34.3%		28.3%
+191
+150
+200
+145
1
3		-0.98537-0.94410-1.06962
Norwich City
Millwall		43.8%
27.3%		29.0%
+175
+156
+225
+125
1
3		-0.99571-0.86034-1.30001
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday		33.4%
36.7%		29.9%
+128
+190
+105
+235
1
2		-1.11700-1.26058-1.00201
Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers		54.9%
21.6%		23.5%
+170
+168
+175
+170
2
1		-1.06218-1.05705-0.60029
Hull City
Swansea City		21.6%
54.9%		23.5%
+225
+125
+210
+135
0
1		-0.86905-0.90429-0.59968
West Bromwich Albion
Coventry City		45.2%
27.7%		27.1%
+220
+116
+235
+115
0
2		-0.82949-0.81362-1.28540
Millwall
Blackburn		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+235
+120
+225
+135
1
4		-0.85658-0.90387-0.82371
Queens Park Rangers
Preston North End		27.9%
46.5%		25.5%
+225
+131
+240
+130
2
1		-1.23509-1.27397-1.27522
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.92070 
Sportsbooks30-0-1 (0.667)3 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81619
0.10451

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.