England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+245
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+247

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+157
+155

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3+100
u3-120

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+224
+117

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-112
u2½-108

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+145
+189

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City		26.1%
46.8%		27.0%
+225
+120
+215
+125
0
2		-0.85604-0.86140-0.75826
Luton Town
Derby County		30.4%
41.5%		28.1%
+220
+151
+245
+150
1
0		-1.21851-1.25593-1.19132
Coventry City
Hull City		28.2%
45.1%		26.7%
+160
+165
+160
+170
1
1		-1.22384-1.27172-1.31991
Blackburn
Luton Town		43.4%
30.0%		26.6%
+380
-127
+405
-125
1
0		-1.62872-1.65026-0.83416
Stoke City
Cardiff City		30.6%
42.4%		26.9%
+220
+131
+230
+125
1
0		-1.22411-1.24320-1.18345
Middlesbrough
Millwall		27.8%
43.4%		28.7%
+136
+205
+135
+220
0
1		-1.17727-1.21244-0.83374
Watford
West Bromwich Albion		34.8%
36.3%		28.9%
+360
-127
+400
-135
1
2		-0.63767-0.60161-1.01266
Bristol City
Queens Park Rangers		39.2%
33.8%		27.0%
+135
+215
+130
+225
1
1		-1.21716-1.22758-1.30844
Preston North End
Leeds United		11.8%
70.0%		18.2%
+1100
-400
+1150
-450
1
2		-0.28626-0.25139-0.35598
Leeds United
Middlesbrough		63.3%
15.3%		21.4%
-130
+320
-140
+360
1
0		-0.63490-0.58848-0.45754
Burnley
Derby County		60.1%
16.6%		23.3%
-110
+360
-115
+390
0
0		-1.15894-1.21332-1.45693
Hull City
Watford		22.4%
53.1%		24.5%
+175
+169
+200
+145
0
1		-1.04589-0.94410-0.63350
Cardiff City
Preston North End		37.2%
35.1%		27.7%
+205
+150
+200
+155
2
2		-1.16938-1.22207-1.28497
West Bromwich Albion
Bristol City		42.1%
30.9%		27.1%
+180
+150
+195
+145
1
2		-0.98361-0.94505-1.17564
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackburn		23.3%
51.5%		25.2%
+190
+147
+175
+175
2
2		-1.20118-1.18006-1.37995
Luton Town
Stoke City		26.0%
47.9%		26.2%
+200
+153
+220
+140
1
1		-1.17009-1.18185-1.34094
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.