England Championship Predictions

Updated 4 days ago

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Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/03/2023 07:00 PM	Sheffield Wednesday West Bromwich Albion	19.9% 56.2%	23.9%	+512 -156 +525 -175	0 1	-0.52472-0.50033	-0.57682
10/03/2023 06:45 PM	Cardiff City Middlesbrough	38.4% 33.5%	28.1%	+355 -118 +315 -115	0 2	-0.64116-0.67433	-1.09413
10/03/2023 06:45 PM	Huddersfield Birmingham City	37.9% 33.7%	28.5%	+290 +115 +250 +115	1 4	-0.79153-0.81362	-1.08877
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Watford	19.2% 56.0%	24.8%	+172 +176 +175 +165	3 2	-1.02697-1.04611	-1.65089
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Coventry City Queens Park Rangers	35.1% 36.4%	28.4%	+160 +193 +130 +215	3 1	-0.97535-0.88242	-1.04566
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Preston North End	43.8% 29.5%	26.7%	+198 +160 +195 +145	4 0	-1.11758-1.13519	-0.82618
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Norwich City	11.1% 69.9%	19.0%	+353 -110 +310 -115	0 2	-0.66947-0.67712	-0.35872
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Swansea City Millwall	44.0% 27.7%	28.4%	+244 +131 +250 +115	3 0	-1.26174-1.30523	-0.82200
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Rotherham United Cardiff City	27.8% 46.8%	25.4%	+565 -165 +450 -160	0 2	-0.49778-0.53773	-0.75901
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Stoke City Bristol City	33.5% 38.3%	28.1%	+180 +160 +195 +155	3 2	-1.08246-1.11541	-1.09216
09/25/2023 07:00 PM	Huddersfield Coventry City	26.5% 46.3%	27.2%	+285 +102 +300 -105	1 1	-1.30689-1.32013	-1.30144
09/24/2023 11:00 AM	Hull City Stoke City	32.2% 40.9%	26.9%	+282 +105 +265 +100	3 1	-1.36500-1.34519	-1.13215
09/23/2023 02:00 PM	Millwall West Bromwich Albion	24.9% 48.7%	26.4%	+268 +112 +260 +110	0 0	-1.25218-1.26012	-1.33041
09/23/2023 02:00 PM	Sheffield Wednesday Swansea City	17.0% 59.9%	23.1%	+313 -104 +290 -105	0 3	-0.70834-0.72194	-0.51289
09/23/2023 02:00 PM	Preston North End Rotherham United	32.7% 40.1%	27.2%	+130 +244 +130 +225	1 1	-1.22203-1.22758	-1.30331
09/20/2023 06:45 PM	West Bromwich Albion Watford	29.2% 43.0%	27.7%	+254 +126 +230 +125	2 2	-1.24057-1.24316	-1.28237

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.