England Championship Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/19/2023 02:00 PM	Preston North End Sheffield Wednesday	35.0% 35.6%	29.3%	+185 +155 +190 +155	1 0	-1.10606-1.11301	-1.04842
08/19/2023 02:00 PM	Watford Stoke City	42.8% 28.9%	28.2%	+215 +131 +220 +120	0 1	-0.88926-0.83986	-1.23984
08/19/2023 02:00 PM	Huddersfield Middlesbrough	26.2% 46.9%	26.8%	+350 -128 +335 -130	1 1	-1.41935-1.41124	-1.31524
08/18/2023 07:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Leeds United	18.3% 59.6%	22.1%	+235 +115 +245 +110	1 1	-1.29044-1.30328	-1.51054
08/12/2023 02:00 PM	Sheffield Wednesday Hull City	26.6% 47.4%	25.9%	+190 +150 +195 +145	2 4	-0.97670-0.94074	-0.74596
08/12/2023 02:00 PM	Leeds United Birmingham City	74.8% 9.1%	16.1%	+128 +225 +110 +245	0 1	-1.23124-1.28880	-2.39470
08/12/2023 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Cardiff City	23.7% 52.8%	23.5%	+295 -110 +320 -115	2 1	-1.42703-1.48828	-1.43995
08/12/2023 02:00 PM	Blackburn Rotherham United	39.6% 33.6%	26.9%	+126 +220 +135 +205	2 2	-1.27168-1.25956	-1.31390
08/12/2023 02:00 PM	Bristol City Millwall	30.6% 40.7%	28.6%	+310 -109 +315 -110	1 0	-1.46885-1.47631	-1.18391
08/12/2023 02:00 PM	Swansea City West Bromwich Albion	36.1% 35.4%	28.5%	+250 +106 +245 +110	2 3	-0.77418-0.79239	-1.03829
08/12/2023 11:30 AM	Middlesbrough Coventry City	31.8% 38.6%	29.6%	+195 +140 +190 +140	0 3	-0.92402-0.92553	-0.95143
08/06/2023 01:30 PM	Cardiff City Leeds United	14.4% 66.2%	19.5%	+525 -213 +575 -225	2 2	-1.56494-1.59939	-1.63686
08/05/2023 02:00 PM	Rotherham United Stoke City	29.4% 44.2%	26.4%	+420 -146 +430 -150	1 4	-0.57286-0.56136	-0.81685
08/05/2023 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Swansea City	11.2% 70.3%	18.5%	+320 -110 +320 -115	1 1	-1.31983-1.33044	-1.68918
08/05/2023 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Watford	16.8% 61.6%	21.6%	+330 -125 +315 -115	0 4	-0.64453-0.67794	-0.48391
08/05/2023 02:00 PM	Hull City Norwich City	21.3% 54.6%	24.1%	+350 -125 +380 -140	1 2	-0.62790-0.58913	-0.60598

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.