England Championship Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/05/2023 02:00 PM	Millwall Middlesbrough	35.1% 34.4%	30.5%	+235 +117 +260 +110	1 0	-1.26517-1.33207	-1.04754
08/05/2023 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Blackburn	36.7% 35.7%	27.6%	+155 +180 +165 +175	1 2	-1.08506-1.06372	-1.02960
08/05/2023 02:00 PM	Preston North End Bristol City	30.8% 41.7%	27.4%	+250 +115 +260 +105	1 1	-1.24639-1.30280	-1.29382
05/27/2023 03:45 PM	Luton Town Coventry City	29.9% 41.8%	28.2%	+148 +247 +150 +251	6 5	-0.93270-0.93435	-1.20624
05/17/2023 07:00 PM	Coventry City Middlesbrough	31.2% 39.3%	29.5%	+350 -108 +375 -120	1 0	-1.53090-1.60699	-1.16520
05/14/2023 11:00 AM	Middlesbrough Coventry City	31.8% 38.6%	29.6%	+199 +156 +190 +155	0 0	-1.23650-1.20041	-1.21871
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	Reading Huddersfield	44.3% 29.1%	26.6%	+339 -111 +295 -110	0 2	-0.66832-0.69631	-1.23478
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Swansea City	28.4% 44.8%	26.8%	+132 +200 +135 +185	2 3	-1.12986-1.09646	-0.80325
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	Stoke City Watford	22.5% 51.6%	25.9%	+181 +162 +180 +145	0 2	-0.98940-0.94585	-0.66233
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	Cardiff City Burnley	16.2% 62.1%	21.8%	+991 -357 +900 -360	0 3	-0.27804-0.29323	-0.47670
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	Coventry City Middlesbrough	31.2% 39.3%	29.5%	+222 +132 +200 +130	1 1	-1.28179-1.31557	-1.21997
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	Bristol City Queens Park Rangers	39.2% 33.8%	27.0%	+179 +155 +165 +150	2 0	-1.07397-1.02460	-0.93634
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	Blackburn Millwall	35.3% 35.6%	29.1%	+313 -108 +295 -115	4 3	-1.44248-1.42366	-1.04143
05/08/2023 02:00 PM	Hull City Luton Town	39.3% 33.6%	27.1%	+358 -115 +315 -115	0 0	-1.32957-1.34335	-1.30663
05/01/2023 04:30 PM	Luton Town Blackburn	23.1% 52.5%	24.3%	+251 +123 +225 +120	1 1	-1.25295-1.28913	-1.41330
05/01/2023 12:00 PM	Middlesbrough Rotherham United	31.1% 41.3%	27.5%	+109 +278 -105 +290	0 1	-1.34657-1.41005	-0.88361

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.