England Championship Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Games for Nov 14, 2024

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/30/2023 11:00 AM	Huddersfield Cardiff City	21.2% 55.3%	23.5%	+226 +152 +215 +140	2 1	-1.20959-1.19769	-1.55098
04/29/2023 04:30 PM	Norwich City West Bromwich Albion	36.0% 34.8%	29.3%	+330 -111 +290 -105	1 2	-0.66939-0.71812	-1.05575
04/29/2023 02:00 PM	Swansea City Hull City	45.8% 28.2%	26.0%	-107 +306 -110 +295	1 1	-1.35709-1.34442	-1.34865
04/29/2023 02:00 PM	Wigan Athletic Reading	10.9% 72.2%	16.9%	+183 +175 +195 +145	1 1	-1.19872-1.24289	-1.77809
04/29/2023 02:00 PM	Burnley Bristol City	56.9% 19.1%	24.0%	+108 +250 +105 +255	2 1	-0.77940-0.76776	-0.56410
04/29/2023 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Stoke City	25.2% 49.9%	24.8%	+303 +106 +295 -105	1 0	-1.42109-1.42354	-1.37706
04/29/2023 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Coventry City	21.6% 52.7%	25.7%	+579 -188 +550 -195	0 2	-0.45653-0.46291	-0.63999
04/27/2023 07:00 PM	Cardiff City Rotherham United	37.8% 35.1%	27.1%	+177 +209 +165 +205	2 1	-1.04444-1.02340	-0.97342
04/25/2023 07:00 PM	Burnley Blackburn	51.8% 22.9%	25.2%	+125 +266 +120 +240	1 0	-0.83324-0.83884	-0.65707
04/24/2023 07:00 PM	Middlesbrough Luton Town	34.1% 36.9%	29.0%	+262 +120 +230 +120	1 2	-0.81475-0.83884	-0.99766
04/22/2023 04:30 PM	Blackburn Preston North End	38.9% 33.6%	27.4%	+189 +166 +185 +165	1 1	-1.17276-1.18097	-1.29299
04/22/2023 02:00 PM	Rotherham United Bristol City	30.8% 42.4%	26.8%	+275 -105 +275 +100	1 2	-0.73162-0.74421	-0.85790
04/22/2023 02:00 PM	Watford Hull City	44.1% 29.1%	26.9%	+162 +188 +165 +170	0 1	-1.09192-1.04276	-1.23539
04/22/2023 02:00 PM	Stoke City Cardiff City	30.6% 42.4%	26.9%	+210 +153 +210 +140	1 1	-1.20171-1.21362	-1.31152
04/22/2023 02:00 PM	Millwall Wigan Athletic	62.8% 15.5%	21.7%	+118 +275 +100 +295	1 2	-1.34888-1.42412	-1.86285
04/22/2023 02:00 PM	Reading Coventry City	36.8% 34.3%	28.9%	+784 -244 +700 -235	1 2	-0.37418-0.40449	-1.07032

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.