England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

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Games for Nov 16, 2024
Games for Nov 18, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Swansea City
31.8%
39.5%
28.7%
-108
+326
-115
+320
3
3
-1.33226-1.33044-1.24977
Blackburn
Preston North End
38.9%
33.6%
27.4%
+189
+168
+180
+160
4
1
-1.08684-1.07790-0.94320
Middlesbrough
Swansea City
18.4%
57.9%
23.7%
+138
+215
+125
+220
1
1
-1.26132-1.27357-1.44012
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion
21.3%
54.1%
24.7%
+195
+156
+220
+130
0
0
-1.24303-1.24299-1.40031
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City
25.2%
49.9%
24.8%
+289
+105
+270
+105
0
1
-0.74328-0.76873-0.69417
Reading
Hull City
33.3%
40.0%
26.7%
+198
+166
+175
+165
0
3
-1.00204-1.02666-0.91727
Bristol City
Derby County
35.3%
35.6%
29.2%
+173
+177
+215
+135
3
1
-1.02719-1.18384-1.04251
Fulham
Bournemouth
34.8%
35.4%
29.8%
+188
+153
+175
+145
1
1
-1.31104-1.31908-1.21029
Millwall
Birmingham City
49.1%
24.0%
26.9%
+117
+267
+120
+240
2
2
-1.25709-1.24434-1.31438
Barnsley
Huddersfield
37.0%
34.4%
28.6%
+485
-155
+520
-180
1
2
-0.52202-0.49456-1.06807
Preston North End
Fulham
17.0%
60.3%
22.6%
+779
-260
+725
-265
0
3
-0.34944-0.37021-0.50572
West Bromwich Albion
Nottingham Forest
42.8%
29.4%
27.8%
+227
+131
+240
+125
0
4
-0.86460-0.84309-1.22302
Luton Town
Cardiff City
24.5%
50.7%
24.8%
+162
+206
+160
+190
1
0
-0.98781-1.00622-1.40674
Swansea City
Reading
44.5%
28.6%
26.9%
+206
+149
+200
+140
4
4
-1.24396-1.25632-1.31353
Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
35.0%
37.1%
27.9%
+216
+140
+225
+130
0
1
-0.90150-0.88187-0.99029
Hull City
Millwall
32.1%
40.1%
27.9%
+430
-123
+405
-125
1
2
-0.61669-0.63856-0.91452
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.