England Championship Predictions

Updated 7 days ago

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Games for Nov 19, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/02/2022 02:00 PM	Bristol City Bournemouth	20.6% 55.1%	24.3%	+663 -232 +640 -235	2 3	-0.38899-0.40716	-0.59647
04/02/2022 02:00 PM	Reading Barnsley	38.2% 33.8%	28.0%	+194 +171 +195 +145	1 1	-1.18456-1.23203	-1.27382
04/01/2022 06:45 PM	Huddersfield Hull City	23.0% 53.0%	23.9%	+174 +186 +165 +180	1 0	-1.03282-1.02521	-1.46946
03/19/2022 03:00 PM	Millwall Stoke City	31.5% 39.4%	29.1%	+242 +136 +240 +130	0 2	-0.89465-0.88312	-0.93036
03/19/2022 03:00 PM	Blackburn Reading	35.5% 37.1%	27.4%	+140 +232 +135 +225	0 1	-1.22523-1.22809	-0.99228
03/19/2022 03:00 PM	Luton Town Hull City	26.5% 48.4%	25.2%	+171 +180 +160 +185	3 1	-1.03022-1.00709	-1.32901
03/19/2022 03:00 PM	Bournemouth Huddersfield	57.0% 19.4%	23.6%	+131 +236 +130 +230	3 0	-0.87474-0.87741	-0.56231
03/19/2022 03:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Bristol City	42.1% 30.9%	27.1%	-105 +305 +100 +275	2 2	-1.31718-1.30383	-1.30682
03/19/2022 03:00 PM	Birmingham City Swansea City	11.2% 70.3%	18.5%	+317 -106 +310 -110	0 0	-1.30236-1.31517	-1.68918
03/19/2022 12:30 PM	Coventry City Derby County	31.9% 38.5%	29.6%	+154 +217 +150 +195	1 1	-1.16267-1.21335	-1.21855
03/16/2022 07:45 PM	Queens Park Rangers Nottingham Forest	27.4% 46.1%	26.4%	+345 -113 +335 -120	1 3	-0.66124-0.65427	-0.77373
03/16/2022 07:45 PM	Stoke City Cardiff City	30.6% 42.4%	26.9%	+202 +160 +190 +155	1 2	-0.98147-0.98438	-0.85741
03/16/2022 07:45 PM	Huddersfield Millwall	22.7% 51.3%	26.0%	+253 +145 +245 +135	0 2	-0.91105-0.90199	-0.66797
03/16/2022 07:45 PM	Preston North End Luton Town	35.8% 35.7%	28.5%	+233 +146 +235 +135	0 4	-0.91644-0.89509	-1.03013
03/16/2022 07:45 PM	Hull City Coventry City	36.4% 35.2%	28.4%	+583 -175 +540 -180	2 0	-1.95115-1.90724	-1.01143
03/15/2022 08:00 PM	Fulham West Bromwich Albion	39.7% 32.1%	28.1%	+120 +259 +105 +270	0 1	-1.29521-1.35922	-1.13606

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.