England Championship Predictions

Updated 10 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/23/2023 02:00 PM	Preston North End Rotherham United	32.7% 40.1%	27.2%	+130 +244 +130 +225	1 1	-1.22203-1.22758	-1.30331
09/20/2023 06:45 PM	West Bromwich Albion Watford	29.2% 43.0%	27.7%	+254 +126 +230 +125	2 2	-1.24057-1.24316	-1.28237
09/20/2023 06:45 PM	Rotherham United Millwall	29.2% 43.1%	27.6%	+455 -140 +440 -145	0 3	-0.56002-0.57426	-0.84081
09/20/2023 06:45 PM	Leeds United Hull City	60.6% 18.0%	21.4%	+100 +284 +100 +280	0 0	-1.35635-1.32107	-1.54201
09/20/2023 06:45 PM	Stoke City Huddersfield	43.5% 29.3%	27.3%	+150 +213 +150 +185	2 2	-1.21618-1.25716	-1.29968
09/19/2023 07:00 PM	Middlesbrough Sheffield Wednesday	33.4% 36.7%	29.9%	+115 +256 +110 +240	1 1	-1.31654-1.31763	-1.20798
09/19/2023 06:45 PM	Swansea City Queens Park Rangers	54.9% 21.6%	23.5%	+169 +181 +165 +165	1 1	-1.23687-1.27147	-1.44753
09/19/2023 06:45 PM	Birmingham City Preston North End	20.3% 55.8%	23.9%	+242 +144 +240 +135	1 2	-0.91854-0.89578	-0.58377
09/19/2023 06:45 PM	Coventry City Cardiff City	26.2% 47.4%	26.4%	+172 +180 +165 +170	2 3	-1.05529-1.04276	-0.74674
09/17/2023 11:00 AM	Leeds United Millwall	58.4% 18.1%	23.5%	+105 +250 +115 +235	3 0	-0.77158-0.80602	-0.53744
09/16/2023 06:45 PM	Swansea City Cardiff City	42.9% 30.1%	27.0%	+195 +159 +200 +135	0 2	-0.96566-0.90604	-1.20148
09/16/2023 02:00 PM	Rotherham United Huddersfield	40.2% 32.5%	27.2%	+338 -108 +320 -115	0 2	-0.68041-0.67523	-1.12338
09/16/2023 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Bristol City	42.1% 30.9%	27.1%	+215 +131 +215 +130	0 0	-1.23509-1.25846	-1.30682
09/16/2023 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Watford	11.8% 68.8%	19.4%	+303 +104 +290 +100	0 2	-0.73992-0.74244	-0.37397
09/16/2023 02:00 PM	Stoke City Norwich City	21.5% 53.2%	25.4%	+325 -105 +295 -115	0 1	-0.68169-0.67564	-0.63156
09/16/2023 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Blackburn	25.1% 49.1%	25.8%	+185 +159 +185 +140	1 2	-0.96632-0.92352	-0.71168

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.