England Championship Predictions

Updated 11 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/16/2022 06:45 PM	Hull City Burnley	14.8% 64.8%	20.4%	+633 -210 +575 -195	1 1	-1.53954-1.47203	-1.58924
08/14/2022 02:00 PM	West Bromwich Albion Blackburn	36.7% 35.7%	27.6%	+141 +215 +135 +210	1 2	-1.17109-1.18127	-1.02960
08/13/2022 02:00 PM	Stoke City Huddersfield	43.5% 29.3%	27.3%	+175 +165 +175 +165	1 3	-1.02210-1.02210	-1.22926
08/13/2022 02:00 PM	Norwich City Hull City	45.6% 27.8%	26.6%	+110 +260 +100 +275	1 2	-1.31595-1.37279	-1.28049
08/13/2022 02:00 PM	Preston North End Luton Town	35.8% 35.7%	28.5%	+230 +124 +235 +125	1 0	-1.24078-1.25836	-1.02725
08/13/2022 02:00 PM	Coventry City Millwall	27.5% 43.7%	28.8%	+205 +142 +205 +145	2 3	-0.93507-0.94348	-0.82862
08/13/2022 02:00 PM	Reading Rotherham United	36.0% 36.5%	27.6%	+235 +119 +240 +115	0 4	-0.83197-0.81340	-1.00920
08/13/2022 02:00 PM	Bristol City Wigan Athletic	62.6% 16.3%	21.1%	+239 +115 +245 +115	1 1	-1.28710-1.27168	-1.55618
08/13/2022 11:30 AM	Birmingham City Cardiff City	16.8% 61.7%	21.4%	+215 +130 +230 +130	0 1	-0.88671-0.88201	-0.48251
08/08/2022 07:00 PM	Watford West Bromwich Albion	34.8% 36.3%	28.9%	+205 +153 +205 +140	1 1	-1.21973-1.22960	-1.24067
08/06/2022 02:00 PM	Cardiff City Reading	34.0% 38.8%	27.1%	+214 +156 +210 +140	1 2	-0.95946-0.92591	-0.94562
08/06/2022 02:00 PM	Blackburn Swansea City	24.6% 50.1%	25.2%	+202 +171 +210 +135	3 0	-1.10748-1.18127	-1.40064
08/06/2022 02:00 PM	Hull City Preston North End	35.1% 37.6%	27.3%	+337 -105 +320 -110	0 0	-1.27297-1.28884	-1.29931
08/06/2022 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Queens Park Rangers	35.6% 36.3%	28.1%	+152 +204 +135 +205	2 3	-1.13585-1.16575	-1.01470
08/06/2022 02:00 PM	Luton Town Burnley	11.3% 69.8%	18.8%	+398 -125 +395 -135	1 1	-1.32261-1.33378	-1.67057
08/05/2022 06:45 PM	Huddersfield Birmingham City	37.9% 33.7%	28.5%	+215 +153 +210 +140	1 2	-0.95122-0.92591	-1.08877

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.