England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+235
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+255

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+150
+165

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3-105
u3-108

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+258
+105

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-114
u2½-105

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+150
+180

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cardiff City
Bristol City		35.6%
36.6%		27.9%
+252
+130
+235
+125
0
2		-0.85458-0.86034-1.00643
Wigan Athletic
Birmingham City		21.8%
53.8%		24.3%
+165
+217
+150
+200
1
0		-0.98083-0.96111-1.52138
Luton Town
Swansea City		16.7%
61.2%		22.0%
+226
+135
+215
+135
2
0		-1.20197-1.19683-1.78749
Watford
Preston North End		46.4%
26.5%		27.2%
+297
+145
+230
+135
0
0		-1.12467-1.18130-1.30379
Hull City
West Bromwich Albion		25.2%
50.4%		24.4%
+570
-190
+530
-180
2
5		-0.45158-0.49213-0.68425
Rotherham United
Queens Park Rangers		37.5%
35.7%		26.7%
+281
+116
+255
+115
1
1		-1.25562-1.24258-1.31968
Middlesbrough
Reading		27.8%
45.3%		26.9%
+105
+299
+100
+275
0
1		-1.40450-1.37279-0.79131
Millwall
Norwich City		21.2%
52.3%		26.5%
+355
-113
+330
-110
0
2		-0.65861-0.69589-0.64793
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion		27.1%
47.6%		25.3%
+525
-165
+500
-165
0
0		-1.42787-1.38613-1.37520
Blackburn
Reading		35.5%
37.1%		27.4%
+147
+217
+135
+210
0
3		-1.17325-1.18127-0.99228
Middlesbrough
Stoke City		28.0%
44.5%		27.6%
+179
+186
+170
+180
2
2		-1.18784-1.18026-1.28877
Watford
Birmingham City		61.4%
16.1%		22.5%
+111
+284
+110
+260
1
1		-1.25604-1.26012-1.48957
Millwall
Swansea City		21.4%
52.6%		25.9%
+199
+161
+195
+155
2
2		-1.20791-1.19485-1.35089
Huddersfield
Norwich City		14.2%
64.7%		21.2%
+452
-145
+420
-150
1
2		-0.55286-0.56156-0.43593
Luton Town
Bristol City		27.3%
46.2%		26.5%
+163
+187
+160
+175
0
2		-1.07599-1.06161-0.77163
Rotherham United
Preston North End		32.2%
40.7%		27.1%
+372
-110
+350
-115
0
0		-1.27397-1.27372-1.30457
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.