England Championship Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
35.0%
37.1%
27.9%
+216
+140
+225
+130
0
1
-0.90150-0.88187-0.99029
Hull City
Millwall
32.1%
40.1%
27.9%
+430
-123
+405
-125
1
2
-0.61669-0.63856-0.91452
Bournemouth
Coventry City
49.2%
24.0%
26.8%
+168
+179
+145
+190
3
0
-1.01033-0.94631-0.70950
Stoke City
Blackburn
29.2%
44.4%
26.4%
+319
+105
+295
+100
1
0
-1.45308-1.42412-1.23114
Huddersfield
Middlesbrough
26.2%
46.9%
26.8%
+414
-125
+350
-125
2
0
-1.66231-1.55452-1.33800
Fulham
Derby County
53.6%
20.9%
25.4%
-153
+495
-170
+495
1
2
-1.80777-1.83609-1.56523
Queens Park Rangers
Huddersfield
35.4%
37.3%
27.3%
+364
-110
+310
-110
2
2
-1.28978-1.31517-1.29733
Cardiff City
Hull City
34.9%
38.4%
26.7%
+229
+142
+200
+150
1
2
-0.91018-0.96582-0.95774
Barnsley
Swansea City
17.6%
59.7%
22.8%
+450
-143
+425
-155
1
1
-1.38346-1.42391-1.47990
Bristol City
Stoke City
30.8%
41.6%
27.5%
+387
-120
+410
-145
1
0
-1.59627-1.67906-1.17762
Millwall
Preston North End
34.2%
36.3%
29.5%
+234
+145
+225
+135
1
1
-1.17649-1.19683-1.22234
Middlesbrough
Bournemouth
18.5%
57.8%
23.8%
+338
-108
+300
-105
0
0
-1.30593-1.28910-1.43616
Coventry City
Birmingham City
44.0%
27.8%
28.2%
+105
+275
+105
+250
4
2
-0.74087-0.75724-0.82109
Nottingham Forest
Luton Town
35.5%
34.9%
29.6%
+175
+181
+130
+215
0
1
-1.05458-1.19690-1.05329
Luton Town
Huddersfield
35.8%
35.6%
28.6%
+224
+150
+210
+145
0
2
-0.93818-0.94804-1.03339
Coventry City
Fulham
15.9%
61.1%
22.9%
+704
-242
+650
-235
3
1
-2.11395-2.05925-1.83753
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.