England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion 		18.9%
59.4%		21.7%
+235
+115

1.00
1.95		2.95
o2½-120
u2½+100

Birmingham City
Derby County 		21.9%
52.6%		25.4%
+116
+255

0.91
1.56		2.47
o2½+112
u2½-134

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers 		76.6%
8.6%		14.8%
+150
+165

2.56
0.75		3.31
o3-105
u3-108

Norwich City
Middlesbrough 		48.8%
23.9%		27.2%
+283
-114

1.41
0.89		2.30
o3-112
u3-107

Stoke City
Watford 		22.5%
51.6%		25.9%
+196
+139

0.91
1.52		2.43
o2½-110
u2½-110

Burnley
Swansea City 		41.4%
30.0%		28.7%
+258
+105

1.23
1.00		2.23
o2½-114
u2½-105

Millwall
Blackburn 		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+150
+180

1.04
1.34		2.38
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 11, 2026
Games for Sep 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cardiff City
Middlesbrough		38.4%
33.5%		28.1%
+587
-187
+560
-190
0
2		-0.45763-0.47221-1.09413
Nottingham Forest
Fulham		17.2%
58.9%		23.8%
+300
+102
+275
+100
1
0		-1.41116-1.37279-1.75863
Bournemouth
Swansea City		31.8%
39.5%		28.7%
-108
+326
-115
+320
3
3		-1.33226-1.33044-1.24977
Blackburn
Preston North End		38.9%
33.6%		27.4%
+189
+168
+180
+160
4
1		-1.08684-1.07790-0.94320
Middlesbrough
Swansea City		18.4%
57.9%		23.7%
+138
+215
+125
+220
1
1		-1.26132-1.27357-1.44012
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion		21.3%
54.1%		24.7%
+195
+156
+220
+130
0
0		-1.24303-1.24299-1.40031
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City		25.2%
49.9%		24.8%
+289
+105
+270
+105
0
1		-0.74328-0.76873-0.69417
Reading
Hull City		33.3%
40.0%		26.7%
+198
+166
+175
+165
0
3		-1.00204-1.02666-0.91727
Bristol City
Derby County		35.3%
35.6%		29.2%
+173
+177
+215
+135
3
1		-1.02719-1.18384-1.04251
Fulham
Bournemouth		34.8%
35.4%		29.8%
+188
+153
+175
+145
1
1		-1.31104-1.31908-1.21029
Millwall
Birmingham City		49.1%
24.0%		26.9%
+117
+267
+120
+240
2
2		-1.25709-1.24434-1.31438
Barnsley
Huddersfield		37.0%
34.4%		28.6%
+485
-155
+520
-180
1
2		-0.52202-0.49456-1.06807
Preston North End
Fulham		17.0%
60.3%		22.6%
+779
-260
+725
-265
0
3		-0.34944-0.37021-0.50572
West Bromwich Albion
Nottingham Forest		42.8%
29.4%		27.8%
+227
+131
+240
+125
0
4		-0.86460-0.84309-1.22302
Luton Town
Cardiff City		24.5%
50.7%		24.8%
+162
+206
+160
+190
1
0		-0.98781-1.00622-1.40674
Swansea City
Reading		44.5%
28.6%		26.9%
+206
+149
+200
+140
4
4		-1.24396-1.25632-1.31353
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
2West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)23.47.215.485.633.5%90.8%9.2%0.0%
3Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)21.312.112.676.51.0%6.8%87.7%0.0%
3Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)23.78.913.484.523.9%50.2%49.0%0.0%
5Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)20.414.610.972.30.5%1.7%63.1%0.0%
6Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)19.411.914.872.90.6%2.9%70.6%0.0%
7Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)17.516.511.964.60.0%0.0%15.7%0.0%
8Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)16.717.511.961.90.0%0.0%5.9%0.8%
9Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)17.817.011.264.60.0%0.0%15.2%0.2%
10Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)15.213.817.062.60.0%0.0%7.7%0.6%
11Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)16.917.811.362.00.0%0.0%5.0%1.0%
12Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)17.720.47.960.90.0%0.0%4.8%1.7%
13Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)18.120.17.862.10.0%0.0%4.7%0.7%
14Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)14.013.118.960.90.0%0.0%4.3%0.8%
15Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)15.618.212.259.00.0%0.0%2.6%3.1%
17Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)13.818.214.055.50.0%0.0%0.4%8.8%
18Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)14.017.614.456.50.0%0.0%0.8%9.3%
19Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)14.021.310.752.70.0%0.0%0.1%24.0%
20Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)14.019.712.354.40.0%0.0%0.4%17.6%
21Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)13.921.410.752.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.6%
21Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)12.518.714.852.40.0%0.0%0.0%27.9%
23Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)10.321.114.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.