England Championship Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/09/2022 07:45 PM	Middlesbrough Queens Park Rangers	35.7% 36.2%	28.1%	+172 +161 +180 +160	2 2	-1.25709-1.22693	-1.26887
02/09/2022 07:45 PM	Huddersfield Preston North End	28.9% 45.6%	25.5%	+277 +112 +275 +110	0 0	-1.20038-1.22799	-1.36661
02/09/2022 07:45 PM	Reading Bristol City	34.7% 37.6%	27.7%	+320 -120 +335 -125	1 2	-0.65047-0.63858	-0.97928
02/09/2022 07:45 PM	Birmingham City Bournemouth	18.2% 64.8%	17.0%	+625 -237 +650 -225	1 3	-0.40459-0.41447	-0.43396
02/09/2022 07:45 PM	Nottingham Forest Blackburn	29.7% 43.9%	26.4%	+230 +140 +235 +140	2 0	-1.23237-1.25632	-1.21328
02/08/2022 07:45 PM	Swansea City Stoke City	42.1% 30.7%	27.2%	+280 +114 +270 +110	0 3	-0.79553-0.79025	-1.18133
02/08/2022 07:45 PM	Barnsley Luton Town	34.0% 37.7%	28.3%	+480 -155 +525 -175	1 2	-0.54034-0.50033	-0.97578
02/08/2022 07:45 PM	Millwall Fulham	24.1% 51.5%	24.4%	+600 -217 +730 -235	0 3	-0.42743-0.40512	-0.66351
02/08/2022 07:45 PM	Hull City Derby County	36.8% 35.3%	27.9%	+260 +135 +240 +130	1 3	-0.88203-0.88312	-1.04066
02/05/2022 05:30 PM	Blackburn Swansea City	28.9% 46.9%	24.2%	+245 +130 +240 +135	0 1	-0.88307-0.88605	-0.75818
02/05/2022 03:00 PM	Preston North End Hull City	33.0% 42.5%	24.6%	+170 +180 +170 +180	1 0	-1.03249-1.04214	-1.10997
02/02/2022 07:45 PM	Cardiff City Barnsley	40.0% 34.6%	25.5%	+140 +215 +130 +225	1 0	-0.91462-0.88187	-0.91749
02/02/2022 07:45 PM	Derby County Huddersfield	38.0% 35.4%	26.5%	+270 +120 +265 +115	0 2	-0.82044-0.81577	-1.03781
02/01/2022 07:45 PM	Luton Town Swansea City	22.8% 55.3%	21.9%	+280 +115 +270 +115	1 0	-1.37686-1.35985	-1.47797
02/01/2022 07:45 PM	Preston North End Millwall	32.0% 41.4%	26.5%	+235 +140 +225 +145	0 0	-1.14599-1.14665	-1.32678
01/30/2022 04:00 PM	Nottingham Forest Cardiff City	31.2% 43.3%	25.6%	+145 +225 +130 +230	1 2	-1.20194-1.24303	-0.83771

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.