England Championship Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/03/2021 07:45 PM	Fulham Blackburn	43.2% 31.4%	25.4%	-118 +320 -125 +315	7 0	-0.65154-0.63936	-0.83984
11/03/2021 07:45 PM	Preston North End Bournemouth	25.0% 51.9%	23.2%	+450 -130 +425 -140	2 1	-1.71976-1.70849	-1.38766
11/03/2021 07:45 PM	Queens Park Rangers Cardiff City	28.6% 48.8%	22.6%	+170 +160 +170 +155	1 0	-1.03238-1.04432	-1.25096
11/02/2021 07:45 PM	Bristol City Birmingham City	45.8% 29.3%	24.9%	+315 -110 +300 -105	0 3	-0.68756-0.71980	-1.22796
11/02/2021 07:45 PM	Reading Millwall	34.4% 39.1%	26.5%	+385 -125 +375 -125	0 1	-0.63811-0.63828	-0.93948
11/02/2021 07:45 PM	Middlesbrough Luton Town	35.7% 37.7%	26.5%	+230 +127 +230 +130	1 3	-0.86531-0.88201	-0.97469
11/02/2021 07:45 PM	Swansea City Coventry City	46.3% 28.0%	25.7%	+225 +135 +230 +130	2 1	-1.21787-1.24303	-0.77048
10/29/2021 06:45 PM	Nottingham Forest Queens Park Rangers	38.1% 36.1%	25.8%	+244 +115 +250 +110	1 1	-1.28302-1.28884	-1.35352
10/24/2021 02:00 PM	Fulham Nottingham Forest	47.2% 27.0%	25.8%	-110 +321 -110 +310	4 0	-0.69261-0.69485	-0.75162
10/23/2021 02:00 PM	Derby County Coventry City	33.3% 39.4%	27.3%	+444 -130 +425 -130	1 1	-1.28696-1.31386	-1.29686
10/23/2021 02:00 PM	Reading Blackburn	32.6% 42.8%	24.6%	+439 -135 +425 -145	0 2	-0.58062-0.57235	-0.84903
10/23/2021 02:00 PM	Huddersfield Bournemouth	20.7% 58.5%	20.8%	+556 -175 +465 -160	0 3	-0.49310-0.53631	-0.53616
10/23/2021 02:00 PM	Hull City Luton Town	39.5% 35.5%	25.0%	+310 -109 +320 -120	0 1	-0.70009-0.65857	-1.03465
10/23/2021 02:00 PM	Bristol City West Bromwich Albion	28.5% 47.6%	23.9%	+625 -217 +680 -215	0 3	-0.42465-0.43235	-0.74206
10/23/2021 02:00 PM	Stoke City Millwall	33.9% 39.1%	27.0%	+170 +175 +195 +160	1 2	-1.05987-1.00570	-0.93872
10/23/2021 02:00 PM	Swansea City Birmingham City	56.9% 21.5%	21.6%	+196 +160 +190 +165	1 2	-1.00874-1.02340	-1.53582

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.