England Championship Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/23/2021 11:30 AM	Middlesbrough Cardiff City	30.2% 44.8%	24.9%	+185 +156 +195 +150	2 0	-1.09533-1.13202	-1.19683
10/20/2021 06:45 PM	Cardiff City Fulham	25.8% 50.9%	23.2%	+675 -250 +660 -235	0 2	-0.38081-0.39723	-0.67464
10/20/2021 06:45 PM	West Bromwich Albion Swansea City	31.6% 43.2%	25.3%	+115 +265 +115 +270	1 2	-1.33165-1.35511	-0.84007
10/20/2021 06:45 PM	Coventry City Preston North End	32.7% 40.8%	26.5%	+195 +155 +195 +155	1 2	-0.98259-0.98355	-0.89744
10/20/2021 06:45 PM	Birmingham City Huddersfield	30.3% 44.4%	25.3%	+225 +135 +225 +130	0 0	-1.21002-1.22758	-1.37346
10/20/2021 06:45 PM	Barnsley Middlesbrough	33.1% 40.4%	26.5%	+375 -125 +375 -135	0 2	-0.62706-0.60468	-0.90679
10/19/2021 06:45 PM	Bournemouth Stoke City	42.9% 31.3%	25.8%	+172 +171 +175 +175	1 0	-1.03691-1.04597	-0.84623
10/19/2021 06:45 PM	Nottingham Forest Bristol City	33.1% 40.3%	26.6%	+165 +185 +150 +190	2 1	-1.00447-0.96748	-1.10549
10/19/2021 06:45 PM	Luton Town Derby County	32.9% 40.8%	26.2%	+160 +202 +155 +200	2 2	-1.18009-1.17834	-1.33804
10/19/2021 06:45 PM	Blackburn Queens Park Rangers	43.6% 32.5%	23.9%	+250 +124 +245 +110	0 1	-0.81635-0.79239	-1.12482
10/17/2021 11:00 AM	Cardiff City Swansea City	28.0% 48.2%	23.8%	+230 +136 +230 +135	0 3	-0.90192-0.90429	-0.72977
10/16/2021 02:00 PM	Derby County Preston North End	32.6% 41.3%	26.1%	+320 +102 +315 +105	0 0	-1.20781-1.18146	-1.34167
10/16/2021 02:00 PM	Coventry City Blackburn	28.9% 46.2%	24.8%	+189 +163 +180 +165	2 2	-1.22278-1.19806	-1.39247
10/16/2021 02:00 PM	Hull City Huddersfield	42.6% 32.8%	24.6%	+285 +102 +305 +100	0 2	-0.75334-0.74188	-1.11444
10/16/2021 02:00 PM	Luton Town Millwall	29.5% 44.5%	26.0%	+198 +154 +205 +150	2 0	-1.12822-1.16437	-1.21949
10/16/2021 02:00 PM	Barnsley Reading	30.4% 44.7%	24.9%	+215 +137 +235 +130	0 1	-0.90010-0.88242	-0.80482

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21

		Regular Season				Postseason
#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
2	West Bromwich Albion (19-5-13, 70 pts)	23.4	7.2	15.4	85.6	33.5%	90.8%	9.2%	0.0%
3	Fulham (18-9-10, 64 pts)	21.3	12.1	12.6	76.5	1.0%	6.8%	87.7%	0.0%
3	Swansea City (15-4-8, 53 pts)	23.7	8.9	13.4	84.5	23.9%	50.2%	49.0%	0.0%
5	Reading (14-9-6, 48 pts)	20.4	14.6	10.9	72.3	0.5%	1.7%	63.1%	0.0%
6	Bournemouth (12-7-10, 46 pts)	19.4	11.9	14.8	72.9	0.6%	2.9%	70.6%	0.0%
7	Cardiff City (11-11-7, 40 pts)	17.5	16.5	11.9	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (11-11-7, 40 pts)	16.7	17.5	11.9	61.9	0.0%	0.0%	5.9%	0.8%
9	Blackburn (11-11-6, 39 pts)	17.8	17.0	11.2	64.6	0.0%	0.0%	15.2%	0.2%
10	Stoke City (9-8-12, 39 pts)	15.2	13.8	17.0	62.6	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.6%
11	Barnsley (11-11-6, 39 pts)	16.9	17.8	11.3	62.0	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	1.0%
12	Preston North End (12-14-3, 39 pts)	17.7	20.4	7.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.8%	1.7%
13	Bristol City (12-14-3, 39 pts)	18.1	20.1	7.8	62.1	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	0.7%
14	Millwall (8-7-14, 38 pts)	14.0	13.1	18.9	60.9	0.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.8%
15	Luton Town (10-11-7, 37 pts)	15.6	18.2	12.2	59.0	0.0%	0.0%	2.6%	3.1%
17	Nottingham Forest (8-12-9, 33 pts)	13.8	18.2	14.0	55.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	8.8%
18	Queens Park Rangers (8-10-9, 33 pts)	14.0	17.6	14.4	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	9.3%
19	Huddersfield (9-14-6, 33 pts)	14.0	21.3	10.7	52.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	24.0%
20	Derby County (8-13-7, 31 pts)	14.0	19.7	12.3	54.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	17.6%
21	Hull City (11-18-8, 41 pts)	13.9	21.4	10.7	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.6%
21	Coventry City (7-12-10, 31 pts)	12.5	18.7	14.8	52.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	27.9%
23	Birmingham City (6-13-10, 28 pts)	10.3	21.1	14.6	45.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	77.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.