Newcastle United at Arsenal

Updated 1028 days ago

12:30 PM • Nov 27, 2021

Newcastle United

22.2%21.0%56.8%

Newcastle United WinDrawArsenal Win

0.75Projected Goals 1.93

0Final Score 2

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United		Money Line
T 1-1	11/06 at Brighton and Hove Albion	+525
T 1-1	10/23 at Crystal Palace	+328
L 3-2	10/17 vs Tottenham	+260
L 1-2	10/02 at Wolverhampton	+350
T 1-1	9/25 at Watford	+254

Arsenal		Money Line
L 0-4	11/20 at Liverpool	+530
W 0-1	11/07 vs Watford	-234
W 1-3	10/22 vs Aston Villa	+100
T 2-2	10/18 vs Crystal Palace	-166
T 0-0	10/02 at Brighton and Hove Albion	+140

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%:3.9%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+525	-	+500	+560	+534	+560	+560	+545.8
Arsenal	-215	-	-200	-200	-217	-200	-200	-173.6
Draw	+380	-	+370	+360	+360	+360	+370	+374.6

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+520	-	+505	-	+500	+530	+530	+545.8
Arsenal	-210	-	-198	-	-250	-210	-198	-173.6
Draw	+375	-	+349	-	+300	+360	+360	+374.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +560 to +55011/27/2021
12:00 PM

Arsenal ML moved from -209 to -21711/27/2021
12:15 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +550 to +53011/27/2021
12:10 PM

Arsenal ML moved from -210 to -22011/26/2021
11:38 AM

Over/Under Analysis

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	o2¾-125	o2¾-122	-	o2¾-122		o2¾-113
Under		-	u2¾+105	u2¾+102	-	u2¾+102		u2¾+113

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		o3+100	o3+105	-	o3-105	o3+105		o2¾-113
Under		u3-120	u3-125	-	u3-125	u3-125		u2¾+113

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.2%


No	54.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.85%
Exactly 2	24.62%
Exactly 4	14.74%
Exactly 6	3.53%
Exactly 8	0.45%


Exactly 1	18.37%
Exactly 3	22.00%
Exactly 5	7.90%
Exactly 7	1.35%
Exactly 9	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	47.12%
Exactly 1	35.46%
Exactly 2	13.34%
Exactly 3	3.35%
Exactly 4	0.63%

Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 0	14.54%
Exactly 1	28.04%
Exactly 2	27.03%
Exactly 3	17.37%
Exactly 4	8.37%
Exactly 5	3.23%
Exactly 6	1.04%
Exactly 7	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	28.91%
Exactly 2	22.26%
Exactly 4	2.86%
Exactly 6	0.15%


Exactly 1	35.88%
Exactly 3	9.21%
Exactly 5	0.71%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	70.58%
Exactly 1	24.59%
Exactly 2	4.28%
Exactly 3	0.50%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 0	40.95%
Exactly 1	36.56%
Exactly 2	16.32%
Exactly 3	4.86%
Exactly 4	1.08%
Exactly 5	0.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals	3.80%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.75%

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals	39.64%
Wins by 3+ goals	19.51%
Wins by 4+ goals	7.89%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.65%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.73%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United

Arsenal

Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal	9.91%
Wins by 2 goals	3.05%
Wins by 3 goals	0.66%

Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal	25.41%
Wins by 2 goals	20.13%
Wins by 3 goals	11.62%
Wins by 4 goals	5.24%
Wins by 5 goals	1.93%
Wins by 6 goals	0.59%
Wins by 7 goals	0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.15%	6.85%
1.5	74.78%	25.22%
2.5	50.16%	49.84%
3.5	28.16%	71.84%
4.5	13.42%	86.58%
5.5	5.52%	94.48%
6.5	1.99%	98.01%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	52.88%	47.12%
1.5	17.42%	82.58%
2.5	4.08%	95.92%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.46%	14.54%
1.5	57.42%	42.58%
2.5	30.39%	69.61%
3.5	13.01%	86.99%
4.5	4.64%	95.36%
5.5	1.41%	98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.09%	28.91%
1.5	35.22%	64.78%
2.5	12.95%	87.05%
3.5	3.74%	96.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United

Arsenal

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.85%	13.21%	12.74%	8.19%	3.95%	1.52%
1	5.16%	9.94%	9.58%	6.16%	2.97%	1.14%
2	1.94%	3.74%	3.61%	2.32%	1.12%	0.43%
3	0.49%	0.94%	0.90%	0.58%	0.28%	0.11%

Newcastle United
1-0	5.16%
2-0	1.94%
2-1	3.74%
3-0	0.49%
3-1	0.94%
3-2	0.90%

Draw
0-0	6.85%
1-1	9.94%
2-2	3.61%
3-3	0.58%

Arsenal
0-1	13.21%
0-2	12.74%
1-2	9.58%
0-3	8.19%
1-3	6.16%
2-3	2.32%
0-4	3.95%
1-4	2.97%
2-4	1.12%
3-4	0.28%
0-5	1.52%
1-5	1.14%
2-5	0.43%
3-5	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United

Arsenal

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	28.91%	25.81%	11.52%	3.43%	0.76%	0.14%
1	10.07%	8.99%	4.01%	1.19%	0.27%	0.05%
2	1.75%	1.57%	0.70%	0.21%	0.05%	0.01%
3	0.20%	0.18%	0.08%	0.02%	0.01%	0.00%

Newcastle United
1-0	10.07%
2-0	1.75%
2-1	1.57%
3-0	0.20%
3-1	0.18%

Draw
0-0	28.91%
1-1	8.99%
2-2	0.70%

Arsenal
0-1	25.81%
0-2	11.52%
1-2	4.01%
0-3	3.43%
1-3	1.19%
2-3	0.21%
0-4	0.76%
1-4	0.27%
0-5	0.14%

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