Liverpool at Manchester City

Updated

Liverpool

23.4%24.6%52.0%
Liverpool WinDrawManchester City Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.64
1Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bournemouth-245
W 0-7 vs Manchester United+140
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-195
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-145
W 2-0 at Newcastle United+188
Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-290
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-180
W 4-1 at Bournemouth-310
W 3-1 at Arsenal+127
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+440+424+380+422-+422+424-
Manchester City-170-152-155-150--150-150-
Draw+330+323+330+310-+310+330-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+450-+417-+385+425+425-
Manchester City-180--160--200-165-160-
Draw+345-+310-+290+320+320-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +427 to +417
Manchester City ML moved from -159 to -169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +445 to +425
Manchester City ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+107o3+100o2¾-118-o2¾-118o2¾-118-
Underu3-120u3-122u3-120u2¾+102-u2¾+102u3-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3+115-o3-105o3+105o3+115-
Underu3-115u3-115u3-135-u3-125u3-125u3-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.03%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 414.56%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.66%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.73%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 019.39%
Exactly 131.81%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 314.27%
Exactly 45.85%
Exactly 51.92%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.25%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 062.51%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 046.79%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 213.50%
Exactly 33.42%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals8.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals27.77%
Wins by 3+ goals11.84%
Wins by 4+ goals4.12%
Wins by 5+ goals1.19%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal14.96%
Wins by 2 goals6.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.19%
Wins by 2 goals15.93%
Wins by 3 goals7.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.97%7.03%
1.574.31%25.69%
2.549.53%50.47%
3.527.61%72.39%
4.513.05%86.95%
5.55.32%94.68%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.75%36.25%
1.526.97%73.03%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.61%19.39%
1.548.80%51.20%
2.522.71%77.29%
3.58.45%91.55%
4.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.75%29.25%
1.534.80%65.20%
2.512.69%87.31%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score012345
0
7.03%
11.53%
9.46%
5.17%
2.12%
0.70%
1
7.13%
11.70%
9.60%
5.25%
2.15%
0.71%
2
3.62%
5.94%
4.87%
2.66%
1.09%
0.36%
3
1.22%
2.01%
1.65%
0.90%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.31%
0.51%
0.42%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Liverpool
1-07.13%
2-03.62%
2-15.94%
3-01.22%
3-12.01%
3-21.65%
4-00.31%
4-10.51%
4-20.42%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.03%
1-111.70%
2-24.87%
3-30.90%
Manchester City
0-111.53%
0-29.46%
1-29.60%
0-35.17%
1-35.25%
2-32.66%
0-42.12%
1-42.15%
2-41.09%
3-40.37%
0-50.70%
1-50.71%
2-50.36%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score01234
0
29.25%
22.21%
8.44%
2.14%
0.41%
1
13.74%
10.44%
3.96%
1.00%
0.19%
2
3.23%
2.45%
0.93%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.51%
0.38%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-013.74%
2-03.23%
2-12.45%
3-00.51%
3-10.38%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.25%
1-110.44%
2-20.93%
Manchester City
0-122.21%
0-28.44%
1-23.96%
0-32.14%
1-31.00%
2-30.24%
0-40.41%
1-40.19%