Southampton at Newcastle United

Updated

Southampton

43.1%26.3%30.5%
Southampton WinDrawNewcastle United Win
1.41Projected Goals 1.15
0Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
T 4-4 vs Liverpool+485
L 1-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+1100
L 2-0 vs Fulham+185
L 1-3 at Newcastle United+1050
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+155
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 2-3 at Manchester United+140
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-170
W 4-1 at Burnley+100
W 1-5 vs Sheffield United-460
L 0-2 at Crystal Palace+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+650-+575+670-+670+670-
Newcastle United-290--250-252--252-250-
Draw+460-+440+430-+430+440-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+725-+670--+660+670-
Newcastle United-300--284---280-280-
Draw+460-+445--+450+450-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +625 to +575
Newcastle United ML moved from -265 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 60.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +775 to +650
Newcastle United ML moved from -275 to -284

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118-o3¼-112o3¼-110-o3¼-110o3¼-110-
Underu3¼-102-u3¼-108u3¼-106-u3¼-106u3¼-106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+110o3½+110-o3½+100o3½+110o3½+110-
Underu3½-130u3½-130u3½-130-u3½-130u3½-130u3½-130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3½-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.73%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 413.84%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.78%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.09%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 024.30%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 311.47%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 51.15%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 031.79%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.56%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 051.94%
Exactly 134.02%
Exactly 211.14%
Exactly 32.43%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 058.83%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals20.55%
Wins by 3+ goals7.70%
Wins by 4+ goals2.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals12.14%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal22.53%
Wins by 2 goals12.85%
Wins by 3 goals5.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal18.25%
Wins by 2 goals8.43%
Wins by 3 goals2.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.27%7.73%
1.572.49%27.51%
2.547.16%52.84%
3.525.54%74.46%
4.511.71%88.29%
5.54.62%95.38%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.70%24.30%
1.541.32%58.68%
2.517.01%82.99%
3.55.54%94.46%
4.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.21%31.79%
1.531.77%68.23%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.44%30.56%
1.533.21%66.79%
2.511.74%88.26%
3.53.25%96.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
7.73%
8.85%
5.07%
1.94%
0.56%
0.13%
1
10.93%
12.52%
7.18%
2.74%
0.79%
0.18%
2
7.73%
8.86%
5.08%
1.94%
0.56%
0.13%
3
3.65%
4.18%
2.39%
0.91%
0.26%
0.06%
4
1.29%
1.48%
0.85%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.36%
0.42%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Southampton
1-010.93%
2-07.73%
2-18.86%
3-03.65%
3-14.18%
3-22.39%
4-01.29%
4-11.48%
4-20.85%
4-30.32%
5-00.36%
5-10.42%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-07.73%
1-112.52%
2-25.08%
3-30.91%
Newcastle United
0-18.85%
0-25.07%
1-27.18%
0-31.94%
1-32.74%
2-31.94%
0-40.56%
1-40.79%
2-40.56%
3-40.26%
0-50.13%
1-50.18%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
30.56%
16.21%
4.30%
0.76%
0.10%
1
20.02%
10.62%
2.82%
0.50%
0.07%
2
6.56%
3.48%
0.92%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.43%
0.76%
0.20%
0.04%
0.00%
4
0.23%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-020.02%
2-06.56%
2-13.48%
3-01.43%
3-10.76%
3-20.20%
4-00.23%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-030.56%
1-110.62%
2-20.92%
Newcastle United
0-116.21%
0-24.30%
1-22.82%
0-30.76%
1-30.50%
2-30.16%
0-40.10%