Newcastle United at Chelsea

Updated

Newcastle United

12.2%17.7%70.1%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.31
1Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Leicester City-320
W 1-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-120
T 2-2 at Leeds United-165
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+130
W 1-3 vs Southampton-373
Chelsea
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester United+470
L 0-1 at Manchester City+450
W 3-1 at Bournemouth+110
L 1-3 at Arsenal+500
L 2-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+140+145+140+145-+145+145-
Chelsea+180+182+170+175-+175+182-
Draw+260+279+280+280-+280+280-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+130-+140-+100+125+140-
Chelsea+145-+170-+185+195+195-
Draw+250-+269-+265+275+275-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +128 to +118
Chelsea ML moved from +185 to +175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Chelsea: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +115 to +100
Chelsea ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3-115o3-120o3-116-o3-116o3-115-
Underu2¾-105u3+100u3+100u3+100-u3+100u3+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3-120o3-120-o3-115o3-120o3-115-
Underu2½+110u3+100u3+100-u3-115u3+100u3+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-142 to o3-106
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.22%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 417.65%
Exactly 65.89%
Exactly 81.05%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.36%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 511.17%
Exactly 72.66%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 042.65%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.48%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 122.89%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 70.70%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.10%
Exactly 224.80%
Exactly 44.44%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 312.11%
Exactly 51.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 067.40%
Exactly 126.59%
Exactly 25.25%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals3.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.84%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals46.96%
Wins by 3+ goals26.16%
Wins by 4+ goals12.22%
Wins by 5+ goals4.85%
Wins by 6+ goals1.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal8.52%
Wins by 2 goals2.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.12%
Wins by 2 goals20.80%
Wins by 3 goals13.94%
Wins by 4 goals7.38%
Wins by 5 goals3.21%
Wins by 6 goals1.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.78%4.22%
1.582.42%17.58%
2.561.28%38.72%
3.538.97%61.03%
4.521.32%78.68%
5.510.15%89.85%
6.54.25%95.75%
7.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.35%42.65%
1.521.01%78.99%
2.55.52%94.48%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.21%32.79%
2.540.74%59.26%
3.520.33%79.67%
4.58.53%91.47%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.90%23.10%
1.543.05%56.95%
2.518.25%81.75%
3.56.14%93.86%
4.51.70%98.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
4.22%
9.76%
11.29%
8.71%
5.03%
2.33%
1
3.60%
8.32%
9.62%
7.42%
4.29%
1.98%
2
1.53%
3.54%
4.10%
3.16%
1.83%
0.85%
3
0.44%
1.01%
1.16%
0.90%
0.52%
0.24%
Newcastle United
1-03.60%
2-01.53%
2-13.54%
3-00.44%
3-11.01%
3-21.16%
Draw
0-04.22%
1-18.32%
2-24.10%
3-30.90%
4-40.11%
Chelsea
0-19.76%
0-211.29%
1-29.62%
0-38.71%
1-37.42%
2-33.16%
0-45.03%
1-44.29%
2-41.83%
3-40.52%
0-52.33%
1-51.98%
2-50.85%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Chelsea
Score012345
0
23.10%
24.74%
13.24%
4.73%
1.27%
0.27%
1
9.11%
9.76%
5.23%
1.87%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.80%
1.93%
1.03%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-09.11%
2-01.80%
2-11.93%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-023.10%
1-19.76%
2-21.03%
Chelsea
0-124.74%
0-213.24%
1-25.23%
0-34.73%
1-31.87%
2-30.37%
0-41.27%
1-40.50%
0-50.27%
1-50.11%