Newcastle United at Chelsea

Updated 582 days ago

03:30 PM • May 28, 2023

Newcastle United

12.2%17.7%70.1%

WinDrawChelsea Win

0.86Projected Goals 2.31

1Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United		Money Line
T 0-0	5/22 vs Leicester City	-320
W 1-4	5/18 vs Brighton and Hove Albion	-120
T 2-2	5/13 at Leeds United	-165
L 2-0	5/07 vs Arsenal	+130
W 1-3	4/30 vs Southampton	-373

Chelsea		Money Line
L 1-4	5/25 at Manchester United	+470
L 0-1	5/21 at Manchester City	+450
W 3-1	5/06 at Bournemouth	+110
L 1-3	5/02 at Arsenal	+500
L 2-1	4/15 vs Brighton and Hove Albion	+190

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%:2.2%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+140	+145	+140	+145	-	+145	+145	-
Chelsea	+180	+182	+170	+175	-	+175	+182	-
Draw	+260	+279	+280	+280	-	+280	+280	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	+130	-	+140	-	+100	+125	+140	-
Chelsea	+145	-	+170	-	+185	+195	+195	-
Draw	+250	-	+269	-	+265	+275	+275	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Chelsea: 60.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Chelsea: 60.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Chelsea: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +128 to +11805/28/2023
08:26 AM

Chelsea ML moved from +185 to +17505/28/2023
03:27 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Chelsea: 70.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Chelsea: 60.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 20.0%

Chelsea: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Chelsea: 30.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +115 to +10005/28/2023
12:10 PM

Chelsea ML moved from +180 to +17005/28/2023
03:30 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.4%:3.4%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-115	o3-115	o3-120	o3-116	-	o3-116	o3-115	-
Under	u2¾-105	u3+100	u3+100	u3+100	-	u3+100	u3+100	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-140	o3-120	o3-120	-	o3-115	o3-120	o3-115	-
Under	u2½+110	u3+100	u3+100	-	u3-115	u3+100	u3+100	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-142 to o3-10605/28/2023
12:45 PM

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-11505/28/2023
03:06 PM

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	51.7%


No	48.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	4.22%
Exactly 2	21.14%
Exactly 4	17.65%
Exactly 6	5.89%
Exactly 8	1.05%
Exactly 10	0.12%


Exactly 1	13.36%
Exactly 3	22.31%
Exactly 5	11.17%
Exactly 7	2.66%
Exactly 9	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	42.65%
Exactly 1	36.34%
Exactly 2	15.48%
Exactly 3	4.40%
Exactly 4	0.94%
Exactly 5	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 0	9.90%
Exactly 1	22.89%
Exactly 2	26.47%
Exactly 3	20.41%
Exactly 4	11.80%
Exactly 5	5.46%
Exactly 6	2.10%
Exactly 7	0.70%
Exactly 8	0.20%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	23.10%
Exactly 2	24.80%
Exactly 4	4.44%
Exactly 6	0.32%


Exactly 1	33.85%
Exactly 3	12.11%
Exactly 5	1.30%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	67.40%
Exactly 1	26.59%
Exactly 2	5.25%
Exactly 3	0.69%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 0	34.27%
Exactly 1	36.70%
Exactly 2	19.65%
Exactly 3	7.01%
Exactly 4	1.88%
Exactly 5	0.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals	3.66%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.84%

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals	46.96%
Wins by 3+ goals	26.16%
Wins by 4+ goals	12.22%
Wins by 5+ goals	4.85%
Wins by 6+ goals	1.64%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United

Chelsea

Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal	8.52%
Wins by 2 goals	2.82%
Wins by 3 goals	0.69%

Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal	23.12%
Wins by 2 goals	20.80%
Wins by 3 goals	13.94%
Wins by 4 goals	7.38%
Wins by 5 goals	3.21%
Wins by 6 goals	1.18%
Wins by 7 goals	0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	95.78%	4.22%
1.5	82.42%	17.58%
2.5	61.28%	38.72%
3.5	38.97%	61.03%
4.5	21.32%	78.68%
5.5	10.15%	89.85%
6.5	4.25%	95.75%
7.5	1.59%	98.41%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	57.35%	42.65%
1.5	21.01%	78.99%
2.5	5.52%	94.48%
3.5	1.12%	98.88%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.10%	9.90%
1.5	67.21%	32.79%
2.5	40.74%	59.26%
3.5	20.33%	79.67%
4.5	8.53%	91.47%
5.5	3.07%	96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	76.90%	23.10%
1.5	43.05%	56.95%
2.5	18.25%	81.75%
3.5	6.14%	93.86%
4.5	1.70%	98.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United

Chelsea

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.22%	9.76%	11.29%	8.71%	5.03%	2.33%
1	3.60%	8.32%	9.62%	7.42%	4.29%	1.98%
2	1.53%	3.54%	4.10%	3.16%	1.83%	0.85%
3	0.44%	1.01%	1.16%	0.90%	0.52%	0.24%

Newcastle United
1-0	3.60%
2-0	1.53%
2-1	3.54%
3-0	0.44%
3-1	1.01%
3-2	1.16%

Draw
0-0	4.22%
1-1	8.32%
2-2	4.10%
3-3	0.90%
4-4	0.11%

Chelsea
0-1	9.76%
0-2	11.29%
1-2	9.62%
0-3	8.71%
1-3	7.42%
2-3	3.16%
0-4	5.03%
1-4	4.29%
2-4	1.83%
3-4	0.52%
0-5	2.33%
1-5	1.98%
2-5	0.85%
3-5	0.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United

Chelsea

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	23.10%	24.74%	13.24%	4.73%	1.27%	0.27%
1	9.11%	9.76%	5.23%	1.87%	0.50%	0.11%
2	1.80%	1.93%	1.03%	0.37%	0.10%	0.02%
3	0.24%	0.25%	0.14%	0.05%	0.01%	0.00%

Newcastle United
1-0	9.11%
2-0	1.80%
2-1	1.93%
3-0	0.24%
3-1	0.25%
3-2	0.14%

Draw
0-0	23.10%
1-1	9.76%
2-2	1.03%

Chelsea
0-1	24.74%
0-2	13.24%
1-2	5.23%
0-3	4.73%
1-3	1.87%
2-3	0.37%
0-4	1.27%
1-4	0.50%
0-5	0.27%
1-5	0.11%

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