Aston Villa at Brighton and Hove Albion

Updated

Aston Villa

38.4%27.6%34.0%
Aston Villa WinDrawBrighton and Hove Albion Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.15
2Final Score 0

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Watford-155
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+158
T 3-3 vs Leeds United-102
W 1-0 at Everton+165
T 2-2 vs Manchester United+150
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Burnley-155
L 0-2 at Manchester United+375
W 2-0 at Watford+109
T 1-1 at Leicester City+180
T 1-1 vs Chelsea+535

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+215+261+245+260+238+260+261+264.5
Brighton and Hove Albion+135+127+120+122+114+122+127+132.5
Draw+215+228+230+225+238+225+238+238.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+195-+245-+215+265+250+264.5
Brighton and Hove Albion+115-+124-+105+110+124+132.5
Draw+205-+216-+210+230+230+238.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 40.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +248 to +227
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +123 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton and Hove Albion: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +259 to +249
Brighton and Hove Albion ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+121o2¼-110o2¼-108-o2¼-108o2¼-108o2½+128
Underu2½-122u2½-136u2¼-110u2¼-108-u2¼-108u2½-136u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+120o2½+119-o2½+115o2½+125o2½+125o2½+128
Underu2½-130u2½-140u2½-139-u2½-145u2½-145u2½-139u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.07%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.77%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 028.76%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 031.54%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.92%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.16%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 058.61%
Exactly 131.31%
Exactly 28.37%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals16.76%
Wins by 3+ goals5.67%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals13.90%
Wins by 3+ goals4.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.63%
Wins by 2 goals11.09%
Wins by 3 goals4.14%
Wins by 4 goals1.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal20.03%
Wins by 2 goals9.51%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.93%9.07%
1.569.16%30.84%
2.543.03%56.97%
3.522.13%77.87%
4.59.59%90.41%
5.53.57%96.43%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.24%28.76%
1.535.40%64.60%
2.513.07%86.93%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.46%31.54%
1.532.07%67.93%
2.511.07%88.93%
3.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.08%32.92%
1.530.51%69.49%
2.510.19%89.81%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
9.07%
10.47%
6.04%
2.32%
0.67%
0.15%
1
11.30%
13.04%
7.53%
2.89%
0.84%
0.19%
2
7.04%
8.13%
4.69%
1.80%
0.52%
0.12%
3
2.93%
3.38%
1.95%
0.75%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.91%
1.05%
0.61%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.26%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.30%
2-07.04%
2-18.13%
3-02.93%
3-13.38%
3-21.95%
4-00.91%
4-11.05%
4-20.61%
4-30.23%
5-00.23%
5-10.26%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.07%
1-113.04%
2-24.69%
3-30.75%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-110.47%
0-26.04%
1-27.53%
0-32.32%
1-32.89%
2-31.80%
0-40.67%
1-40.84%
2-40.52%
3-40.22%
0-50.15%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
32.92%
17.59%
4.70%
0.84%
0.11%
1
18.99%
10.15%
2.71%
0.48%
0.06%
2
5.48%
2.93%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.05%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-018.99%
2-05.48%
2-12.93%
3-01.05%
3-10.56%
3-20.15%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-032.92%
1-110.15%
2-20.78%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-117.59%
0-24.70%
1-22.71%
0-30.84%
1-30.48%
2-30.14%
0-40.11%