Manchester City at Watford

Updated

Manchester City

76.0%13.9%10.0%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.26Projected Goals 0.30
3Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-230
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-385
W 0-3 vs Everton-525
W 2-0 at Manchester United-140
W 4-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-255
Watford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+975
L 2-4 at Leicester City+390
W 1-4 vs Manchester United+540
L 0-1 at Arsenal+650
W 5-2 at Everton+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-422--500-475-527-475-475-390.5
Watford+1011-+1200+1200+1254+1200+1254+1441.6
Draw+519-+600+650+587+650+650+619.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-540--550---550-500-390.5
Watford+1270-+1300--+1300+1300+1441.6
Draw+610-+641--+650+641+619.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -550 to -575
Watford ML moved from +1400 to +1200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -490 to -550
Watford ML moved from +1350 to +1200

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o3¼-105o3¼-111-o3¼-111o3¼+104
Under-u3¼-115u3¼-109-u3¼-109u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½+116-o3½+105o3½+115o3¼+104
Underu3½-135u3½-136-u3½-135u3½-135u3¼-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes23.1%
 
No76.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.75%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 413.81%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.83%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 010.45%
Exactly 123.60%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 320.07%
Exactly 411.33%
Exactly 55.12%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 70.62%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 074.20%
Exactly 122.14%
Exactly 23.30%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.61%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 035.14%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 36.70%
Exactly 41.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 087.10%
Exactly 112.03%
Exactly 20.83%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals58.24%
Wins by 3+ goals33.63%
Wins by 4+ goals16.05%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals24.61%
Wins by 3 goals17.57%
Wins by 4 goals9.61%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal3.18%
Wins by 2 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.25%7.75%
1.572.42%27.58%
2.547.07%52.93%
3.525.47%74.53%
4.511.66%88.34%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.55%10.45%
1.565.95%34.05%
2.539.29%60.71%
3.519.23%80.77%
4.57.90%92.10%
5.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.525.80%74.20%
1.53.66%96.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.39%30.61%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Watford
Score012
0
7.75%
2.31%
0.35%
1
17.51%
5.23%
0.78%
2
19.78%
5.90%
0.88%
3
14.89%
4.44%
0.66%
4
8.41%
2.51%
0.37%
Manchester City
1-017.51%
2-019.78%
2-15.90%
3-014.89%
3-14.44%
3-20.66%
4-08.41%
4-12.51%
4-20.37%
Draw
0-07.75%
1-15.23%
2-20.88%
Watford
0-12.31%
0-20.35%
1-20.78%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Watford
Score012
0
30.61%
4.23%
0.29%
1
32.01%
4.42%
0.31%
2
16.74%
2.31%
0.16%
3
5.83%
0.81%
0.06%
4
1.53%
0.21%
0.01%
5
0.32%
0.04%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-032.01%
2-016.74%
2-12.31%
3-05.83%
3-10.81%
4-01.53%
4-10.21%
5-00.32%
Draw
0-030.61%
1-14.42%
2-20.16%
Watford
0-14.23%
0-20.29%
1-20.31%
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