English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wolverhampton
Southampton		33.9%
38.6%		27.5%
+149
+225
+150
+208
2
1		-0.92912-0.95756-1.08167
Chelsea
West Ham United		51.0%
25.0%		24.0%
+127
+250
+122
+245
1
1		-1.25432-1.22769-1.42774
Leeds United
Manchester United		11.3%
71.4%		17.3%
+537
-176
+560
-200
2
2		-1.53805-1.58645-1.75475
Manchester City
Tottenham		59.3%
18.9%		21.8%
-110
+317
-110
+325
0
1		-1.44902-1.46894-1.66569
West Ham United
Newcastle United		43.3%
30.0%		26.7%
+480
-144
+480
-157
1
1		-1.37980-1.38043-1.32073
Crystal Palace
Manchester United		11.2%
70.6%		18.2%
+825
-260
+790
-270
1
2		-0.34889-0.36021-0.34769
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion		21.4%
53.4%		25.2%
+737
-245
+835
-270
0
1		-0.36111-0.34732-0.62747
Liverpool
Wolverhampton		58.8%
18.4%		22.8%
-104
+305
-112
+310
0
3		-1.41704-1.44575-1.69336
Leicester City
Aston Villa		47.1%
27.6%		25.2%
+266
+117
+280
+110
4
2		-1.31703-1.35197-0.75281
Arsenal
Everton		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
-205
+751
-225
+703
0
1		-2.14140-2.12151-1.06877
Fulham
Chelsea		9.7%
74.2%		16.1%
+500
-156
+475
-160
0
0		-1.44911-1.43427-1.82381
Tottenham
Fulham		63.2%
15.9%		20.8%
+115
+241
+110
+235
1
0		-0.78342-0.77910-0.45834
Manchester United
Arsenal		44.4%
29.2%		26.3%
+335
-113
+300
-115
2
3		-0.65187-0.67598-1.23032
Wolverhampton
Manchester City		8.9%
75.4%		15.8%
+1100
-348
+1075
-410
0
3		-0.27250-0.26138-0.28271
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace		29.3%
42.4%		28.2%
-114
+360
-116
+360
0
0		-1.32253-1.31264-1.26588
Everton
West Ham United		36.9%
35.7%		27.4%
+378
-115
+370
-122
0
2		-0.64735-0.64173-1.03016
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.