English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leeds United
Southampton		26.5%
48.4%		25.1%
+220
+133
+210
+125
2
2		-1.29817-1.31453-1.38318
Fulham
Wolverhampton		18.0%
58.4%		23.6%
+225
+143
+210
+140
0
0		-1.22227-1.21362-1.44358
Leicester City
Arsenal		34.1%
37.9%		27.9%
+608
-201
+575
-215
2
4		-0.42535-0.43117-0.96932
Everton
Aston Villa		38.3%
34.9%		26.8%
+375
-118
+360
-125
1
2		-0.63565-0.63726-1.05168
Manchester City
West Ham United		71.0%
11.6%		17.4%
-248
+704
-280
+725
2
0		-0.36074-0.35277-0.34231
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		11.4%
70.7%		17.9%
+385
-120
+415
-135
2
1		-1.58895-1.66379-2.17516
Chelsea
Everton		45.7%
29.0%		25.3%
-172
+576
-190
+600
1
0		-0.47652-0.46112-0.78404
Wolverhampton
Leeds United		40.3%
31.7%		28.0%
+215
+145
+210
+138
1
2		-0.91564-0.91185-1.14854
Southampton
Tottenham		21.6%
56.0%		22.4%
+800
-252
+760
-280
1
4		-0.35155-0.34981-0.57955
Aston Villa
Bournemouth		52.8%
22.9%		24.3%
+101
+317
+100
+280
0
2		-1.44987-1.37964-1.47482
Liverpool
Fulham		74.4%
9.2%		16.4%
-360
+998
-378
+1000
2
2		-1.93109-1.85976-1.80503
Arsenal
Crystal Palace		50.7%
23.4%		25.9%
-113
+362
-120
+340
2
0		-0.65099-0.65541-0.67962
Tottenham
Norwich City		66.1%
14.0%		20.0%
-284
+1000
-310
+880
5
0		-0.29882-0.32534-0.41471
Aston Villa
Manchester City		7.9%
78.2%		13.9%
+1647
-566
+1600
-650
2
3		-0.18385-0.19236-0.24568
Wolverhampton
Liverpool		13.5%
66.8%		19.7%
+1889
-688
+1700
-720
1
3		-0.15882-0.16818-0.40422
Southampton
Leicester City		21.5%
55.5%		22.9%
+371
-138
+365
-140
1
4		-0.56994-0.57212-0.58828
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.