English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wolverhampton
Arsenal		24.3%
50.0%		25.7%
+502
-143
+480
-150
1
2		-0.54780-0.55262-0.69295
Leeds United
Liverpool		9.6%
74.4%		16.1%
+1475
-543
+1450
-600
0
6		-0.19639-0.19976-0.29636
Crystal Palace
Watford		44.5%
26.9%		28.6%
+171
+200
+158
+210
4
1		-1.01755-0.97506-0.81040
Tottenham
Burnley		56.2%
20.3%		23.5%
-120
+376
-125
+375
0
1		-1.58431-1.59037-1.59519
Leicester City
Wolverhampton		43.5%
29.3%		27.2%
+279
+120
+265
+116
1
2		-0.80876-0.81376-1.22751
Manchester United
Leeds United		63.9%
15.7%		20.4%
-146
+416
-140
+375
4
2		-0.53981-0.57896-0.44741
Tottenham
Manchester City		13.8%
67.4%		18.8%
+1025
-344
+1000
-360
3
2		-2.44254-2.43235-1.98130
Everton
Southampton		37.6%
35.6%		26.8%
+280
+118
+260
+111
0
2		-0.78130-0.78904-1.03350
Norwich City
Liverpool		5.9%
81.1%		13.0%
+2200
-700
+2200
-765
1
3		-0.15744-0.16110-0.20934
Chelsea
Crystal Palace		58.4%
18.8%		22.8%
-141
+476
-146
+450
1
0		-0.55101-0.56286-0.53804
Burnley
Brighton and Hove Albion		29.3%
41.9%		28.8%
+566
-155
+527
-155
3
0		-1.91108-1.87412-1.22854
Watford
Aston Villa		16.4%
62.2%		21.5%
+475
-144
+450
-155
1
0		-1.76317-1.74979-1.81070
Newcastle United
West Ham United		23.2%
52.4%		24.4%
+475
-143
+420
-145
1
1		-1.43553-1.41034-1.40940
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		18.6%
65.1%		16.3%
+400
-120
+375
-125
0
2		-0.62174-0.63750-0.42963
West Ham United
Leicester City		26.9%
50.0%		23.1%
+150
+201
+145
+195
2
2		-1.28078-1.27679-1.46672
Wolverhampton
Tottenham		27.6%
48.7%		23.7%
+480
-138
+455
-145
2
0		-1.77661-1.75875-1.28804
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.