English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Crystal Palace
Brighton and Hove Albion		33.3%
39.4%		27.3%
+310
+104
+307
+105
1
1		-1.26203-1.22765-1.30001
Norwich City
West Ham United		22.7%
55.3%		22.0%
+799
-235
+700
-255
0
2		-0.37121-0.37325-0.59193
Wolverhampton
Manchester United		22.4%
56.7%		20.9%
+466
-140
+475
-155
1
0		-1.75296-1.79649-1.49709
Liverpool
Chelsea		41.7%
33.8%		24.5%
+175
+160
+168
+165
2
2		-1.28616-1.28417-1.40564
Burnley
Leeds United		32.2%
41.6%		26.3%
+275
+105
+275
+100
1
3		-0.75336-0.74265-0.87738
Brighton and Hove Albion
Everton		27.1%
49.2%		23.7%
+170
+200
+175
+190
3
2		-1.01716-1.04626-1.30593
West Ham United
Crystal Palace		39.5%
34.3%		26.2%
+125
+255
+122
+245
3
2		-0.83529-0.83993-0.92766
Tottenham
Watford		60.6%
19.9%		19.5%
-165
+524
-170
+473
1
0		-0.49737-0.50400-0.50121
Manchester City
Arsenal		54.7%
23.7%		21.7%
-150
+420
-163
+435
2
1		-0.54024-0.52496-0.60411
Burnley
Manchester United		16.8%
65.1%		18.0%
+890
-265
+820
-280
1
3		-0.34415-0.34991-0.42860
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea		20.8%
59.6%		19.5%
+1012
-300
+1000
-285
1
1		-1.70666-1.65292-1.63378
Liverpool
Leicester City		44.6%
30.8%		24.6%
-300
+723
-310
+700
0
1		-2.14132-2.12611-1.17649
Tottenham
Southampton		44.5%
32.0%		23.5%
+110
+275
+115
+262
1
1		-1.27054-1.23736-1.44949
Norwich City
Crystal Palace		26.2%
47.8%		25.9%
+451
-135
+430
-135
0
3		-0.58379-0.58718-0.73789
West Ham United
Watford		50.0%
26.2%		23.8%
+105
+255
+105
+250
4
1		-0.75336-0.76070-0.69293
Manchester United
Newcastle United		60.2%
20.5%		19.3%
-215
+575
-200
+515
1
1		-1.63158-1.58027-1.64558
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.