English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Bromwich Albion
Arsenal		16.3%
70.2%		13.5%
+600
-192
+575
-205
1
3		-0.43970-0.44035-0.35424
Everton
West Ham United		36.7%
35.9%		27.4%
+255
+115
+250
+110
1
0		-1.29507-1.30324-1.00291
Manchester United
Aston Villa		52.9%
25.8%		21.3%
-125
+348
-125
+340
3
1		-0.61314-0.63275-0.63754
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wolverhampton		28.3%
45.3%		26.4%
+105
+315
+115
+290
1
2		-1.45004-1.38525-0.79164
Southampton
Liverpool		20.1%
63.6%		16.4%
+850
-315
+850
-331
0
2		-0.30729-0.30312-0.45323
Chelsea
Manchester City		23.3%
57.4%		19.3%
+303
+107
+285
+105
2
1		-1.41878-1.39481-1.45663
Crystal Palace
Sheffield United		34.2%
34.4%		31.4%
+154
+200
+155
+195
2
0		-0.96268-0.98163-1.07157
Tottenham
Leeds United		49.5%
27.6%		23.0%
-115
+300
+100
+301
1
3		-1.42060-1.39388-1.28819
Newcastle United
Leicester City		21.5%
59.5%		18.9%
+760
-250
+800
-262
4
2		-2.18187-2.23549-1.53637
West Ham United
Burnley		40.3%
32.1%		27.6%
+135
+215
+130
+226
2
1		-0.87498-0.85588-0.90899
Wolverhampton
West Bromwich Albion		54.2%
24.1%		21.7%
+207
+154
+200
+151
1
1		-1.05836-1.05747-1.01800
Sheffield United
Tottenham		20.9%
59.9%		19.2%
+900
-305
+900
-318
0
4		-0.31630-0.31514-0.51223
Arsenal
Newcastle United		50.0%
26.4%		23.6%
+100
+285
+100
+281
2
0		-0.72272-0.73039-0.69215
Aston Villa
Everton		30.9%
44.3%		24.8%
+280
+100
+280
-102
2
1		-1.36787-1.37694-1.17587
Fulham
Chelsea		17.1%
68.7%		14.2%
+700
-200
+650
-200
0
2		-0.43152-0.45130-0.37480
Leeds United
Brighton and Hove Albion		33.3%
38.5%		28.2%
+275
+112
+275
+105
0
2		-0.77128-0.75724-0.95459
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.