English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Liverpool
Burnley		63.5%
18.9%		17.7%
-323
+900
-360
+890
3
0		-0.29180-0.28782-0.45449
West Ham United
West Bromwich Albion		53.7%
25.0%		21.3%
-145
+407
-150
+400
3
1		-0.54435-0.54550-0.62191
Arsenal
Crystal Palace		46.9%
27.5%		25.6%
-160
+485
-168
+475
3
1		-0.50690-0.51073-0.75754
Aston Villa
Tottenham		26.8%
51.6%		21.5%
+425
-160
+435
-169
2
1		-1.68735-1.71380-1.31524
Sheffield United
Newcastle United		32.1%
38.8%		29.1%
+340
-120
+325
-120
0
1		-0.64139-0.65247-0.94709
Wolverhampton
Everton		31.6%
41.7%		26.6%
+390
-125
+394
-130
0
1		-0.61583-0.61131-0.87448
Leicester City
Chelsea		31.6%
43.0%		25.4%
+440
-140
+450
-142
1
2		-0.57359-0.56777-0.84411
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion		70.5%
15.7%		13.8%
-225
+650
-225
+625
2
3		-2.04957-2.02753-1.85138
Leeds United
Southampton		30.1%
45.1%		24.9%
+155
+170
+160
+160
2
0		-0.96145-0.98738-1.20188
Fulham
Manchester United		14.8%
72.7%		12.5%
+970
-325
+875
-330
1
1		-1.34109-1.31396-1.11577
Sheffield United
Everton		24.4%
52.3%		23.3%
+810
-275
+780
-275
1
0		-2.24140-2.21687-1.40928
Liverpool
West Bromwich Albion		76.5%
13.3%		10.3%
-445
+1109
-460
+1150
2
1		-0.23475-0.24005-0.26794
Wolverhampton
Tottenham		27.6%
48.7%		23.7%
+550
-180
+500
-185
0
2		-0.45352-0.46479-0.72007
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace		37.9%
34.2%		28.0%
+130
+215
+130
+210
2
3		-1.17697-1.16970-1.07414
West Ham United
Brighton and Hove Albion		38.2%
33.7%		28.0%
+110
+255
+115
+242
1
1		-1.03578-1.03600-1.02426
Fulham
Southampton		24.9%
52.9%		22.1%
+325
-113
+320
-115
1
3		-0.65913-0.67160-0.63597
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.