German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen 		30.2%
45.0%		24.8%
+232
+118
+225
+119
1.25
1.57		2.82
o2¾-101
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+110
Union Berlin
Freiburg 		27.9%
47.1%		25.0%
+266
+116
+260
+115
1.16
1.57		2.73
o2¼-113
u2¼-105
o2½+120
u2½-140
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 		62.8%
17.4%		19.8%
+163
+150
+173
+145
2.17
1.05		3.22
o3½-115
u3½-105
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Augsburg
Dortmund 		10.4%
74.5%		15.0%
+485
-178
+450
-185
3.58
o3-112
u3-107
o3-112
u3-105
TIME
HALF		0
1
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		62.1%
17.8%		20.1%
-178
+440
-183
+410
3.20
o3½-118
u3½+102
o3½-112
u3½+100
TIME
HALF		0
1
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		40.7%
33.4%		25.8%
+580
-220
+625
-230
2.68
o3¼-118
u3½-120
o3½+105
u3½-125
TIME
HALF		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
Mainz 05		35.0%
39.3%		25.7%
+315
-105
+300
-110
0
1		-0.69581-0.69547-0.93295
Werder Bremen
FC Koln		34.9%
40.0%		25.1%
+205
+145
+197
+150
1
0		-1.14486-1.12316-1.05346
FC Koln
Hoffenheim		20.6%
58.8%		20.5%
+357
-132
+365
-134
1
1		-1.43284-1.42333-1.58260
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		21.7%
56.6%		21.7%
+640
-210
+600
-210
1
3		-0.41898-0.43348-0.56853
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		62.1%
17.8%		20.1%
+198
+142
+192
+136
0
3		-0.91001-0.89803-1.72524
RB Leipzig
Augsburg		73.1%
11.1%		15.9%
-140
+360
-150
+350
2
2		-1.50923-1.52993-1.84124
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin		47.6%
27.3%		25.1%
+230
+135
+225
+135
0
1		-0.88114-0.89450-1.29850
Freiburg
Dortmund		17.7%
62.2%		20.1%
+440
-175

0
3		-0.48794-0.47482
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig		10.8%
73.4%		15.9%
+845
-290
+800
-300
0
2		-0.32928-0.33459-0.30967
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg		26.1%
50.1%		23.9%
+232
+112
+225
+110
2
2		-1.37433-1.37105-1.43238
Eint Frankfurt
FC Koln		54.8%
23.9%		21.3%
+153
+206
+147
+200
0
2		-1.14319-1.14347-1.43112
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich		10.4%
74.7%		14.9%
+1650
-700
+1400
-680
1
3		-0.16816-0.18054-0.29170
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05		36.0%
38.0%		25.9%
+275
+110
+290
+105
1
0		-1.35070-1.38653-1.02057
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg		31.4%
43.2%		25.4%
+129
+225
+120
+230
3
1		-0.85428-0.82698-1.15887
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		28.7%
47.2%		24.1%
+950
-430
+925
-450
0
0		-2.08273-2.05113-1.42454
Bayern Munich
Augsburg		86.0%
4.7%		9.3%
-315
+700
-300
+720
3
2		-0.31289-0.32165-0.15085
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.