German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen 		54.9%
22.2%		22.8%
+206
+117
+210
+117
1.84
1.08		2.92
o3-108
u3-112
o3-108
u3-110
Games for Nov 6, 2025
Games for Nov 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
RB Leipzig
Borussia Monchengladbach		43.8%
31.3%		25.0%
-168
+435
-175
+400
1
0		-0.48890-0.50213-0.82629
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		39.6%
34.6%		25.8%
+240
+118
+240
+105
2
0		-1.24660-1.27465-0.92584
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05		47.2%
28.7%		24.1%
+171
+163
+170
+155
3
1		-1.01990-1.03502-0.75037
Augsburg
RB Leipzig		7.9%
79.1%		13.0%
+1013
-360
+875
-375
0
3		-0.26052-0.27579-0.23508
Dortmund
Freiburg		53.2%
23.9%		22.9%
+133
+221
+135
+185
4
2		-0.84632-0.89659-0.63160
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg		20.7%
56.7%		22.6%
+250
+131
+240
+120
1
2		-0.83914-0.82707-0.56747
Hoffenheim
FC Koln		49.3%
27.6%		23.1%
+218
+129
+205
+125
3
1		-1.16440-1.15474-0.70686
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		12.8%
70.1%		17.0%
+420
-162
+400
-171
2
2		-1.58572-1.58192-1.77078
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin		66.1%
15.0%		18.9%
+107
+265
+110
+255
3
0		-0.76106-0.78076-0.41439
FC Koln
Eint Frankfurt		17.5%
64.0%		18.5%
+255
+120
+241
+120
1
1		-1.26411-1.24351-1.68562
Bayern Munich
Borussia Monchengladbach		67.5%
14.6%		17.9%
-385
+900
-390
+850
2
1		-0.26595-0.27233-0.39331
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen		30.2%
45.0%		24.8%
+168
+168
+155
+165
0
4		-1.01341-1.02449-0.79917
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim		40.7%
33.4%		25.8%
+160
+152
+160
+150
1
3		-0.95826-0.96165-1.09524
Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart		34.6%
39.4%		26.0%
+210
+130
+215
+122
0
5		-0.86745-0.83854-0.93189
Augsburg
Bayern Munich		3.5%
88.8%		7.6%
+2150
-1100
+2100
-1100
1
3		-0.12158-0.13493-0.11838
Eint Frankfurt
Mainz 05		56.0%
22.6%		21.4%
+170
+178
+170
+165
1
1		-1.24768-1.25414-1.54215
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.