Milan at Salernitana

Updated

Milan

82.6%11.7%5.7%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.88Projected Goals 0.65
2Final Score 2

Salernitana

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sampdoria-260
W 2-1 at Inter+335
T 0-0 vs Juventus+175
L 2-1 vs Spezia-350
W 1-3 vs Roma+120
Salernitana
Money Line
T 1-1 at Genoa+330
T 2-2 vs Spezia+175
L 1-4 at Napoli+2000
L 3-0 vs Lazio+875
W 2-1 at Hellas Verona+850

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-295-291-345-300-393-300-291-258.4
Salernitana+750+936+900+1000+1076+1000+1076+940.8
Draw+400+446+425+420+483+420+483+446.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-285----315-290-290-258.4
Salernitana+815---+750+825+825+940.8
Draw+395---+300+400+400+446.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Salernitana: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -335 to -345
Salernitana ML moved from +942 to +936

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Salernitana: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
No Steam Moves On Salernitana ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3+118o2¾-118o2¾-121-o2¾-121o3+118o2½-124
Underu3-108u3-133u2¾-102u2¾+101-u2¾+101u2¾+101u2½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-130--o3+110o2½-125o2½-125o2½-124
Underu3-120u2½+110--u3-140u2½+105u3-140u2½+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.94%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 418.95%
Exactly 67.86%
Exactly 81.75%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.37%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 513.37%
Exactly 73.96%
Exactly 90.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 116.23%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 59.23%
Exactly 64.42%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 052.05%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 211.10%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.54%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 45.79%
Exactly 60.51%
 
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 314.18%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 026.43%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 073.91%
Exactly 122.34%
Exactly 23.38%
Exactly 30.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals63.23%
Wins by 3+ goals41.48%
Wins by 4+ goals23.25%
Wins by 5+ goals11.22%
Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals1.33%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Salernitana
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Milan
Wins by 1 goal19.28%
Wins by 2 goals21.76%
Wins by 3 goals18.22%
Wins by 4 goals12.03%
Wins by 5 goals6.52%
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal4.37%
Wins by 2 goals1.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.06%2.94%
1.586.69%13.31%
2.568.41%31.59%
3.546.92%53.08%
4.527.96%72.04%
5.514.60%85.40%
6.56.74%93.26%
7.52.78%97.22%
8.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.12%21.88%
2.554.80%45.20%
3.532.45%67.55%
4.516.40%83.60%
5.57.17%92.83%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.95%52.05%
1.513.96%86.04%
2.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.46%19.54%
1.548.56%51.44%
2.522.52%77.48%
3.58.34%91.66%
4.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Salernitana
Score0123
0
2.94%
1.92%
0.63%
0.14%
1
8.45%
5.52%
1.80%
0.39%
2
12.14%
7.93%
2.59%
0.56%
3
11.63%
7.59%
2.48%
0.54%
4
8.36%
5.46%
1.78%
0.39%
5
4.80%
3.14%
1.02%
0.22%
Milan
1-08.45%
2-012.14%
2-17.93%
3-011.63%
3-17.59%
3-22.48%
4-08.36%
4-15.46%
4-21.78%
4-30.39%
5-04.80%
5-13.14%
5-21.02%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-02.94%
1-15.52%
2-22.59%
3-30.54%
Salernitana
0-11.92%
0-20.63%
1-21.80%
0-30.14%
1-30.39%
2-30.56%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Salernitana
Score0123
0
19.54%
5.91%
0.89%
0.09%
1
25.99%
7.86%
1.19%
0.12%
2
17.29%
5.23%
0.79%
0.08%
3
7.67%
2.32%
0.35%
0.04%
4
2.55%
0.77%
0.12%
0.01%
5
0.68%
0.21%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-025.99%
2-017.29%
2-15.23%
3-07.67%
3-12.32%
3-20.35%
4-02.55%
4-10.77%
4-20.12%
5-00.68%
5-10.21%
6-00.15%
Draw
0-019.54%
1-17.86%
2-20.79%
Salernitana
0-15.91%
0-20.89%
1-21.19%
1-30.12%