MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Feb 4, 2026
Games for Feb 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.2%
43.8%
-108
-102
-110
+102
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
1
2
-0.70719-0.72177-0.82533
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
48.4%
51.6%
-127
+115
-128
+120
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-140
4
10
-0.78975-0.80428-0.66237
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
42.7%
57.3%
+116
-128
+120
-127
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
0
-0.79418-0.80236-0.85167
Baltimore Orioles
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.3%
55.7%
-113
+104
-110
+102


3
4
-0.73345-0.72177-0.58436
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
54.2%
45.8%
+108
-118
+120
-122
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+185
2
1
-0.75417-0.79255-0.61207
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
51.1%
48.9%
-150
+136
-155
+147
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½-105
+1½-115
7
1
-0.53428-0.51046-0.67107
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
44.8%
55.2%
+138
-152
+145
-152
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
6
10
-0.52863-0.51683-0.59486
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
49.4%
50.6%
+105
-116
+112
-120
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
2
-0.64623-0.62315-0.68130
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
48.1%
51.9%
+104
-115
+100
-108
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+195
5
7
-0.65049-0.67446-0.65545
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
41.4%
58.6%
+154
-171
+152
-165
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
3
-0.95657-0.94353-0.88247
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
47.8%
52.2%
+188
-209
+198
-200
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½+100
6
1
-1.08114-1.09416-0.73777
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
59.9%
40.1%
-166
+150
-170
+161
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½+100
2
8
-0.94007-0.97204-0.91452
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
+133
-147
+130
-140
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
3
-0.86991-0.85085-0.60044
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
54.2%
45.8%
+171
-190
+170
-187
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
0
1
-0.44674-0.45008-0.78180
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.4%
57.6%
+244
-275
+238
-260
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
5
10
-0.33391-0.34335-0.55146
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
60.1%
39.9%
+148
-164
+153
-160
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-150
-1½+130
0
5
-0.50023-0.49610-0.91917
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.