Upcoming Games for October 3, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jose Quintana Tobias Myers | 42.9% 57.1% | +112 -122 +111 -118 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-194 -1½+175 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o7½-105 u7½-110 o7½-115 u7½-105 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Angels | 50.0% 50.0% | -107 -103 -106 +104 | +1½-206 -1½+195 | 8 6 | -0.68389-0.66920 | -0.69377 | |
Seattle Mariners Milwaukee Brewers | 44.1% 55.9% | +115 -125 +117 -125 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-191 -1½+180 | 5 6 | -0.60825-0.60404 | -0.58102 | |
Houston Astros Texas Rangers | 61.3% 38.7% | -133 +122 -134 +127 | -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+120 +1½-128 | 2 10 | -0.81855-0.83287 | -0.94817 | |
Chicago White Sox Kansas City Royals | 54.1% 45.9% | +165 -180 +175 -177 | +1½-129 -1½+110 +1½-115 -1½+105 | 1 2 | -0.46185-0.45050 | -0.77912 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Atlanta Braves | 35.4% 64.6% | +258 -295 +270 -290 | +1½+130 -1½-150 +1½+133 -1½-150 | 5 6 | -0.31774-0.31004 | -0.43632 | |
Philadelphia Phillies Washington Nationals | 53.9% 46.1% | -197 +179 -185 +182 | -1½-126 +1½+110 -1½-123 +1½+110 | 4 0 | -0.43201-0.43586 | -0.61884 | |
New York Mets Cincinnati Reds | 46.4% 53.6% | +120 -130 +124 -126 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+163 | 3 2 | -0.80802-0.81042 | -0.76824 | |
San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants | 44.1% 55.9% | +112 -122 +111 -116 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-197 -1½+175 | 2 3 | -0.61967-0.63260 | -0.58075 | |
Baltimore Orioles Pittsburgh Pirates | 46.9% 53.1% | -119 +109 -114 +114 | -1½+135 +1½-152 -1½+140 +1½-145 | 5 2 | -0.63156-0.62978 | -0.75732 | |
Tampa Bay Rays Colorado Rockies | 55.7% 44.3% | -160 +147 -155 +153 | -1½-115 +1½-103 -1½-113 +1½+100 | 7 10 | -0.92425-0.93130 | -0.81464 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Chicago Cubs | 58.2% 41.8% | -181 +166 -180 +168 | -1½-115 +1½-104 -1½-105 +1½+100 | 7 9 | -0.99821-1.00169 | -0.87206 | |
Oakland Athletics Detroit Tigers | 58.1% 41.9% | +202 -225 +211 -235 | +1½+100 -1½-110 +1½+105 -1½-119 | 4 5 | -0.39090-0.37732 | -0.87008 | |
Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees | 44.8% 55.2% | +139 -152 +138 -147 | +1½-150 -1½+132 +1½-150 -1½+135 | 3 0 | -0.89265-0.88230 | -0.80234 | |
Chicago White Sox Kansas City Royals | 56.7% 43.3% | +162 -177 +170 -180 | +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 1 10 | -0.46833-0.45497 | -0.83589 | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Washington Nationals | 40.0% 60.0% | -117 +107 -112 +108 | -1½+142 +1½-150 -1½+145 +1½-160 | 7 4 | -0.63974-0.64712 | -0.91612 | |
Detroit Tigers New York Mets | 39.9% 60.1% | +107 -117 +110 -118 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-192 -1½+175 | 1 2 | -0.63974-0.63113 | -0.50964 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 4 | 2-2 (0.500) | 0 | -0.76435 | |
Sportsbooks | 4 | 2-2 (0.500) | 0 | -0.76784 | |
DRatings | 4 | 2-2 (0.500) | 0 | -0.76472 | -0.00037 0.00313 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.