MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Feb 4, 2026
Games for Feb 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
45.6%
54.4%
-145
+131
-145
+145
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
5
4
-0.54896-0.52452-0.78417
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
44.3%
55.7%
+147
-163
+155
-160
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
0
-0.92854-0.94358-0.81376
Baltimore Orioles
Arizona Diamondbacks
40.7%
59.3%
+108
-119
+111
-120
+1½-184
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
1
-0.75624-0.76589-0.89786
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+144
-159
+145
-158
+1½-161
-1½+141
+1½-160
-1½+140
3
4
-0.51139-0.51073-0.82080
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
42.6%
57.4%
+109
-120
+112
-120
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-215
-1½+190
0
7
-0.62978-0.62315-0.55492
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
50.2%
49.8%
+100
-110
+105
-107
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+200
2
4
-0.67015-0.66458-0.69701
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.4%
57.6%
+234
-263
+238
-270
+1½+108
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
0
2
-0.34589-0.34035-0.55146
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
47.8%
52.2%
+112
-123
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
6
2
-0.77442-0.78592-0.73777
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
60.0%
40.0%
-173
+156
-172
+160
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
4
6
-0.96404-0.97233-0.91674
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
-111
+101
-104
+101
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-165
4
8
-0.72144-0.70542-0.79533
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
60.1%
39.9%
-145
+131
-144
+142
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
2
6
-0.86168-0.88714-0.91917
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
41.7%
58.3%
+113
-115
+115
-120
+1½-173
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
18
-0.63006-0.61667-0.53969
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
-102
-108
-102
-105
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-160
2
6
-0.67930-0.68605-0.58576
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
39.2%
60.8%
+101
-111
+104
-113
+1½-211
-1½+181
+1½-210
-1½+190
4
5
-0.66563-0.65441-0.49737
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
53.9%
46.1%
+108
-119
+111
-120
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
5
12
-0.63380-0.62534-0.77518
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
59.9%
40.1%
-102
-108
-107
+100

-1½+155
+1½-170
3
4
-0.67930-0.70991-0.91320
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.