MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+106
-126
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.89
4.94
8.83
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
52.2%
47.8%
+102
-112
+108
-110
+1½-200
-1½+180

8.29
o9-110
u9-108
o9-105
u9+100
9th
BOT
5
4
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
40.7%
59.3%
-128
+116
-110
+122
-1½+125
+1½-140

9.86
o10-115
u10-102
o10-115
u10-105
7th
BOT
18
2
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
54.6%
45.4%
+161
-178
+165
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
8.81
o7-115
u7-105
o7-110
u7+100
8th
BOT
7
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.6%
41.4%
-202
+188
-208
+193
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+125
2
8
-1.07376-1.09148-0.88187
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.3%
61.7%
+205
-220
+205
-215
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-110
7
4
-1.13038-1.12550-0.95902
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
45.8%
54.2%
+171
-175
+168
-176
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
10
-0.45733-0.46067-0.61326
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
43.6%
56.4%
-125
+122
-126
+121
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-150
6
5
-0.59377-0.59423-0.83098
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
36.4%
63.6%
+165
-174
+162
-168
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
0
1
-0.46639-0.47552-0.45320
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
50.3%
49.7%
-120
+115
-118
+112
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
2
-0.61667-0.62672-0.68707
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
33.8%
66.2%
+201
-220
+205
-221
+1½-102
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-107
5
0
-1.12147-1.13134-1.08480
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
61.5%
38.5%
-122
+117
-125
+120
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-132
8
4
-0.60899-0.59784-0.48686
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
40.5%
59.5%
+226
-245
+225
-251
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
6
0
-1.19845-1.20121-0.90473
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
-103
-105
-102
-105
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-216
-1½+195
3
4
-0.68844-0.68605-0.59968
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
53.4%
46.6%
-138
+130
-135
+129
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
6
4
-0.55953-0.56539-0.62697
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
39.6%
60.4%
+147
-153
+153
-152
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
5
-0.51251-0.50398-0.50421
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
63.9%
36.1%
-160
+150
-160
+152
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
7
3
-0.50078-0.49765-0.44769
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.8%
58.2%
+143
-153
+145
-150
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+121
4
9
-0.51909-0.51896-0.54096
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.8%
45.2%
+152
-160
+151
-159
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
5
-0.49765-0.50017-0.79474
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
56.6%
43.4%
-175
+168
-181
+172
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
9
1
-0.46143-0.45157-0.56844
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.67735 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.67523 
DRatings115-6 (0.455)0-0.73086
-0.05351
-0.05563

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.