MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 21, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Justin Wrobleski
Zack Wheeler
56.2%
43.8%
+104
-115
+115
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
5.24
4.58
9.82
o9+105
u9-115
o9+105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kendry Rojas
Parker Messick
47.8%
52.2%
+130
-143
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-165
-1½+147
4.76
4.99
9.75
o8-109
u8-105
o8-115
u8+100
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Will Warren
32.4%
67.6%
+110
-132
+122
-125
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+160
3.85
5.66
9.51
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-115
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Drew Rasmussen
Kevin Gausman
47.2%
52.8%
-104
-106
-105
-105
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
4.33
4.62
8.95
o7½-110
u7½-107
o7½-110
u7½-110
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
Eduardo Rivera
34.2%
65.8%
-101
-109
+118
-107
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+185
5.20
6.85
12.05
o8½-115
u8½-103
o8-110
u8½-105
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Walker Buehler
Reynaldo Lopez
48.5%
51.5%
+131
-145
+130
-135
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-159
-1½+140
4.04
4.19
8.23
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Zach Thornton
Brandon Sproat
42.9%
57.1%
+118
-130
+122
-129
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-155
-1½+160
4.01
4.75
8.76
o9+102
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Tyler Mahle
Luinder Avila
57.3%
42.7%
-104
+100
-106
+105
-1½+150
+1½-160

4.56
3.80
8.36
o9-110
u9+100
o9-120
u9½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Noah Schultz
Kumar Rocker
59.3%
40.7%
+102
-112
+110
-114
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
5.81
4.84
10.65
o9+100
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Framber Valdez
David Peterson
44.0%
56.0%
+105
-116
+110
-114
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.92
4.55
8.47
o8+100
u8-117
o8-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Tyler Phillips
Tatsuya Imai
36.6%
63.4%
+111
-122
+111
-120
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.57
4.98
8.55
o9-123
u9½-120
o9-120
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Carson Palmquist
Michael Lorenzen
47.7%
52.3%
-110
+100
-105
-103
-1½+130
+1½-148

5.90
6.15
12.05
o13-115
u13-105
o13-110
u13-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Matthew Liberatore
Walbert Urena
45.4%
54.6%
+104
-115
+103
-105
+1½-190
-1½+175

4.50
4.98
9.48
o9-120
u9+100
o9-105
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Jack Perkins
Kohl Drake
58.7%
41.3%
+120
-132
+122
-130
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+158
4.95
4.04
8.99
o9½-103
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Chase Burns
Luis Castillo
48.8%
51.2%
+105
-116
+110
-110
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.50
4.62
9.12
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-105
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.2%
37.8%
-215
+196
-215
+210
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-140
+1½+140
0
4
-1.10537-1.13650-0.97411
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
36.2%
63.8%
+180
-190
+185
-199
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
3
5
-0.43510-0.42344-0.44866
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+242
-250
+230
-256
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
6
-0.34314-0.35164-0.57279
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+156
-165
+154
-163
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+132
1
4
-0.48696-0.49179-0.39552
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
-141
+134
-142
+142
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-124
5
8
-0.86249-0.88378-0.54688
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
54.0%
46.0%
-116
+110
-112
+108
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+146
+1½-155
3
1
-0.63482-0.64712-0.61648
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
+120
-130
+121
-130
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
0
6
-0.59012-0.58810-0.63923
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
39.3%
60.7%
+136
-143
+139
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+155
7
2
-0.87079-0.88150-0.93420
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
-255
+235
-260
+248
-1½-160
+1½+145
-1½-175
+1½+168
6
0
-0.34753-0.33496-0.60417
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
45.3%
54.7%




3
5
-0.60265
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
32.6%
67.4%




0
2
-0.39408
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
42.0%
58.0%




6
0
-0.86707
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
52.2%
47.8%




4
7
-0.73900
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%




3
2
-0.71707
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
53.0%
47.0%




3
2
-0.63426
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.2%
37.8%




13
3
-0.47406
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.67773 
Sportsbooks159-5 (0.633)1-0.67108 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.63358
0.04415
0.03750

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.