MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Casey Legumina
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-109
-101
-108
+100

-1½+155
+1½-175
3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+104
-115
+111
-120
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.72
4.75
8.47
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+193
-215
+190
-210
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8½-110
u8½-109
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
48.5%
51.5%
+231
-260
+250
-245
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
8.43
o8-108
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
5th
TOP
3
5
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
47.8%
52.2%
+127
-140
+130
-138
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
9.43
o7-115
u7+100
o7-115
u7½-120
2nd
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
36.0%
64.0%
+178
-183
+175
-184
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+105
6
4
-1.02879-1.02304-1.02251
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
46.7%
53.3%
+172
-181
+168
-175
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+104
1
10
-0.45157-0.46143-0.63010
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
54.4%
45.6%
-125
+117
-123
+121
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-144
10
2
-0.60404-0.59904-0.60921
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.3%
66.7%
+270
-290
+263
-290
+1½+128
-1½-140
+1½+140
-1½-138
6
7
-0.31004-0.31515-0.40506
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
46.5%
53.5%
+122
-132
+126
-130
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-165
-1½+165
3
4
-0.58316-0.57821-0.62624
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
49.3%
50.7%
-210
+196
-210
+205
-1½-140
+1½+123
-1½-135
+1½+140
8
2
-0.40461-0.39473-0.70727
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
43.8%
56.2%
-140
+130
-137
+133
-1½+120
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-132
5
0
-0.55696-0.55530-0.82462
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
36.6%
63.4%
+181
-190
+185
-190
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½+100
3
2
-1.04418-1.05334-1.00395
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.0%
47.0%
+129
-138
+127
-128
+1½-179
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+170
4
7
-0.56140-0.57925-0.75430
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
57.8%
42.2%
-152
+143
-154
+148
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-110
9
2
-0.52014-0.50986-0.54747
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
55.0%
45.0%
+103
-108
+105
-105
+1½-195
-1½+170

13
0
-0.71980-0.71785-0.59787
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
42.9%
57.1%
+147
-155
+154
-153
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+121
1
3
-0.51046-0.50140-0.56084
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.9%
67.1%
+182
-190
+181
-190
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+110
0
2
-0.43260-0.43383-0.39836
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
47.5%
52.5%
+111
-118
+113
-118
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
5
-0.62891-0.62452-0.64422
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
38.2%
61.8%
+210
-222
+215
-220
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
4
-0.38383-0.37964-0.48149
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.4%
43.6%
+109
-117
+108
-110
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
5
3
-0.75464-0.73693-0.57284
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.70369 
Sportsbooks158-6 (0.567)1-0.69138 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.69580
0.00789
-0.00442

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.