MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Casey Legumina
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-112
+102
-108
+100
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+102
-112
+110
-114
+1½-212
-1½+181
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.72
4.75
8.47
o7½-105
u7½-114
o7½+100
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+195
-218
+192
-210
+1½-106
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8½-110
u8½-109
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
48.5%
51.5%
+231
-260
+250
-245
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
8.43
o8-108
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
8th
BOT
5
6
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
47.8%
52.2%
+127
-140
+130
-138
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
9.43
o7-115
u7+100
o7-115
u7½-120
6th
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Colorado Rockies
52.0%
48.0%
-163
+153
-160
+155
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+100
4
3
-0.49333-0.49303-0.65364
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
61.3%
38.7%
-117
+108
-118
+112
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
3
-0.63747-0.62672-0.49012
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
53.5%
46.5%
-125
+117
-128
+120
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
12
5
-0.60404-0.59314-0.62487
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
38.9%
61.1%
+192
-175
+194
-205
+1½-110
-1½+110
+1½-110
-1½-105
1
9
-0.43060-0.40950-0.49328
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
55.2%
44.8%
-167
+160
-165
+160
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-108
5
1
-0.47929-0.48102-0.59339
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
53.1%
46.9%
+210
-220
+200
-220
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
1
6
-0.38472-0.39531-0.75698
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
49.1%
50.9%
+145
-152
+143
-148
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+153
0
4
-0.51683-0.52449-0.67515
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
31.4%
68.6%
+202
-215
+198
-205
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½-103
-1½-105
6
5
-1.11884-1.09958-1.15910
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
41.3%
58.7%
+190
-208
+190
-205
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-111
-1½-105
0
2
-0.41252-0.41412-0.53346
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
36.9%
63.1%
+130
-140
+136
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+140
11
9
-0.85085-0.86569-0.99810
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
52.2%
47.8%
-258
+245
-265
+247
-1½-170
+1½+159
-1½-165
+1½+165
10
4
-0.33805-0.33427-0.64980
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
38.9%
61.1%
+152
-160
+155
-159
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
3
-0.49765-0.49397-0.49328
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
47.5%
52.5%
+104
-108
+100
-105
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+185
3
2
-0.72233-0.70528-0.74459
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
38.9%
61.1%
+156
-166
+155
-165
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+127
2
6
-0.48608-0.48848-0.49346
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.9%
45.1%
+147
-150
+147
-148
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
5
4
-0.90907-0.90585-0.59882
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
59.3%
40.7%
-126
+116
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-144
4
1
-0.60453-0.60195-0.52226
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.70717 
Sportsbooks137-5 (0.577)1-0.69478 
DRatings136-7 (0.462)0-0.69428
0.01289
0.00049

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.