MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+102
-112
+106
-114
+1½-212
-1½+181
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.72
4.75
8.47
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-105
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+200
-223
+200
-220
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8½-110
u8½-109
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
47.8%
52.2%
+127
-140
+130
-138
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
9.43
o7-115
u7+100
o7-115
u7½-120
9th
BOT
1
1
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
41.8%
58.2%
-112
+102
-108
+100
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
8.15
o8½-117
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
1st
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
59.3%
40.7%
-126
+116
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-144
4
1
-0.60453-0.60195-0.52226
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
55.3%
44.7%
-145
+135
-140
+136
-1½+110
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-125
9
5
-0.54173-0.54604-0.59160
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
62.6%
37.4%
-147
+139
-147
+146
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
3
5
-0.88474-0.90182-0.98286
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.7%
62.3%
+166
-176
+166
-178
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
5
7
-0.46345-0.46194-0.47260
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.6%
42.4%
-127
+120
-127
+119
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-140
9
5
-0.59470-0.59673-0.55220
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.0%
67.0%
+245
-260
+245
-270
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-130
1
11
-0.33743-0.33448-0.39996
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
39.2%
60.8%
+109
-118
+114
-116
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
3
-0.63337-0.62601-0.49699
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
51.1%
48.9%
+120
-125
+119
-125
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
1
-0.79851-0.79600-0.67186
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
54.3%
45.7%
+132
-138
+132
-138
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+140
2
0
-0.85238-0.85238-0.61098
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
41.4%
58.6%
+168
-174
+166
-178
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+120
4
2
-0.99396-0.99441-0.88133
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
51.8%
48.2%
-144
+137
-137
+140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-133
0
2
-0.87491-0.87017-0.72958
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
48.2%
51.8%
+146
-153
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
7
6
-0.91135-0.89199-0.72998
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
29.3%
70.7%
+221
-240
+217
-230
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-120
4
9
-0.36557-0.37337-0.34682
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
53.9%
46.1%
-117
+108
-117
+115
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
6
0
-0.63747-0.62200-0.61821
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
33.9%
66.1%
+131
-138
+132
-139
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
6
-0.84989-0.85411-1.08193
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
38.5%
61.5%
+125
-132
+125
-130
+1½-160
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+150
10
7
-0.82426-0.82055-0.95329
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.69053 
Sportsbooks137-5 (0.577)1-0.67772 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68848
0.00206
-0.01075

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.