MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+100
-110
+105
-112
+1½-215
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.72
4.75
8.47
o7½-120
u7½+108
o7½-120
u7½+105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+197
-220
+200
-220
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-115
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
41.8%
58.2%
-112
+102
-108
+100
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
8.15
o8½-117
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
6th
BOT
1
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
38.5%
61.5%
+125
-132
+125
-130
+1½-160
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+150
10
7
-0.82426-0.82055-0.95329
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
55.5%
44.5%
-122
+113
-120
+115
-1½+130
+1½-149
-1½+134
+1½-145
6
0
-0.61750-0.61667-0.58904
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
37.9%
62.1%
+185
-199
+193
-210
+1½-110
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+105
4
18
-0.42344-0.40801-0.47588
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
35.1%
64.9%
+216
-225
+213
-230
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
3
5
-0.37646-0.37734-0.43251
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
37.5%
62.5%
+169
-179
+172
-179
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
13
1
-1.00277-1.00981-0.98158
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
54.1%
45.9%
-120
+118
-123
+120
-1½+130
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-143
4
1
-0.61031-0.60110-0.61350
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
54.8%
45.2%
+154
-163
+156
-165
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
6
-0.49179-0.48696-0.79478
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+112
-120
+110
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
6
7
-0.62315-0.63297-0.75177
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
37.9%
62.1%
+201
-220
+210
-220
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-109
-1½-109
6
2
-1.12147-1.14144-0.96930
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
47.7%
52.3%
-125
+117
-125
+118
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
6
11
-0.79098-0.79350-0.64894
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
39.5%
60.5%
+204
-215
+201
-220
+1½+100
-1½-112
+1½+100
-1½-115
0
8
-0.39335-0.39423-0.50241
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
56.0%
44.0%
-195
+188
-198
+193
-1½-124
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+120
2
3
-1.06601-1.08069-0.82134
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
36.8%
63.2%
+240
-260
+237
-260
+1½+110
-1½-129
+1½+125
-1½-125
5
1
-1.23998-1.23368-0.99981
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
60.8%
39.2%
-255
+235
-250
+232
-1½-160
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+150
1
3
-1.22564-1.21534-0.93746
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
52.3%
47.7%
+117
-123
+120
-123
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-186
-1½+175
10
5
-0.78704-0.79454-0.64745
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
-108
-101
-106
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
6
4
-0.67690-0.66680-0.85701
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.68021 
Sportsbooks116-4 (0.591)1-0.66607 
DRatings116-5 (0.545)0-0.66957
0.01065
-0.00350

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.