MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+195
-218
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-115
4.39
4.74
9.13
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
40.1%
59.9%
+110
-121
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+180
8.47
o7½-115
u7½+105
o7½-115
u7½+105
2nd
TOP
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
-108
-101
-106
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
6
4
-0.67690-0.66680-0.85701
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
38.0%
62.0%
+170
-175
+165
-172
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+116
1
2
-0.45869-0.46797-0.47808
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
34.3%
65.7%
+215
-220
+211
-230
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-109
4
10
-0.37964-0.37936-0.41998
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
35.2%
64.8%
+228
-235
+220
-240
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-122
0
4
-0.36090-0.36652-0.43356
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
48.1%
51.9%
-146
+136
-146
+146
-1½+115
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
6
8
-0.87575-0.90017-0.65585
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
48.3%
51.7%
+168
-175
+175
-177
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-129
-1½+115
4
5
-0.46143-0.45050-0.65902
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
53.9%
46.1%
-143
+133
-142
+134
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
5
6
-0.86339-0.86417-0.77416
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
35.2%
64.8%
+145
-155
+145
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-146
-1½+135
11
9
-0.91198-0.90421-1.04276
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
51.8%
48.2%
-155
+149
-159
+150
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
2
7
-0.92168-0.93009-0.72954
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
49.2%
50.8%
-105
-102
-105
-102
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
4
3
-0.68605-0.68605-0.70993
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
39.2%
60.8%
+224
-235
+224
-230
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-115
0
9
-0.36462-0.36661-0.49699
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
47.7%
52.3%
-134
+125
-129
+123
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+135
+1½-135
7
3
-0.57442-0.58559-0.73940
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
51.2%
48.8%
+130
-137
+131
-138
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+157
0
2
-0.56084-0.55767-0.71664
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
39.2%
60.8%
+138
-148
+140
-147
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+142
7
4
-0.88390-0.88719-0.93611
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
53.9%
46.1%
+112
-122
+113
-119
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
9
-0.61967-0.62273-0.77416
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
38.4%
61.6%
+123
-131
+127
-132
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
-1½+140
3
8
-0.58263-0.57338-0.48446
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.68405 
Sportsbooks126-5 (0.542)1-0.66992 
DRatings127-5 (0.583)0-0.65882
0.02522
0.01109

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.