MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+193
-215
+205
-210
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
4.39
4.74
9.13
o8½+100
u8½-112
o8½-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
40.1%
59.9%
+110
-121
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+180
8.47
o7½-115
u7½+105
o7½-115
u7½+105
5th
BOT
4
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
-111
+104
-106
+102


1
8
-0.72909-0.71266-0.55239
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
34.3%
65.7%
+190
-205
+193
-205
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
2
4
-0.41412-0.41065-0.41998
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
57.6%
42.4%
-210
+195
-210
+195
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+117
10
1
-0.40573-0.40573-0.55078
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
53.8%
46.2%
+148
-154
+155
-158
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+127
2
3
-0.50986-0.49492-0.77258
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
37.9%
62.1%
+222
-240
+230
-234
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-122
1
2
-0.36462-0.35944-0.47588
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
45.6%
54.4%
+138
-144
+134
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+145
5
7
-0.53763-0.54962-0.60882
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
54.3%
45.7%
-172
+162
-170
+160
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
5
11
-0.97710-0.96964-0.78207
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
49.4%
50.6%
+120
-130
+120
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
5
-0.59012-0.59946-0.68175
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
39.3%
60.7%
-101
-108
+100
-105
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
5
7
-0.67690-0.68116-0.49994
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
59.3%
40.7%
-187
+177
-195
+180
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-126
+1½+125
10
7
-0.44086-0.43197-0.52180
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
27.4%
72.6%
+260
-290
+255
-280
+1½+125
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
1
3
-0.31741-0.32375-0.32021
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
53.0%
47.0%
+160
-170
+160
-166
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
4
8
-0.47678-0.48015-0.75585
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
56.9%
43.1%
+131
-140
+130
-135
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
7
-0.55511-0.56352-0.84065
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
39.7%
60.3%
+219
-235
+225
-240
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-108
4
2
-1.17487-1.19214-0.92447
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox
55.2%
44.8%
-126
+123
-128
+125
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-132
11
9
-0.59019-0.58315-0.59448
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
39.1%
60.9%
+151
-159
+152
-152
+1½-145
-1½+139
+1½-145
-1½+130
8
3
-0.93250-0.92425-0.93861
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks105-5 (0.500)0-0.67344 
Sportsbooks105-4 (0.550)1-0.66012 
DRatings106-4 (0.600)0-0.65903
0.01440
0.00109

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.