Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

8.1%15.2%76.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.44
1Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+170
T 2-2 vs Feyenoord+420
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+260
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+145
L 5-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+210
Ajax
Money Line
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk-255
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
W 1-2 vs Twente+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+625-+875+900-+900+900-
Ajax-260--385-385--385-385-
Draw+370-+475+520-+520+520-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+650----+900+900-
Ajax-260-----375-375-
Draw+410----+525+525-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +900 to +825
Ajax ML moved from -360 to -385

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Groningen ML
Ajax ML moved from -335 to -375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102-o3¼-105o3¼-102-o3¼-102o3¼-102-
Underu3-118-u3¼-115u3¼-118-u3¼-118u3¼-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.52%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 417.32%
Exactly 65.53%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 114.00%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.72%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 051.82%
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 211.20%
Exactly 32.45%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 08.72%
Exactly 121.28%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.84%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 311.71%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 073.76%
Exactly 122.45%
Exactly 23.42%
Exactly 30.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 032.33%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals1.94%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals54.01%
Wins by 3+ goals31.77%
Wins by 4+ goals15.69%
Wins by 5+ goals6.58%
Wins by 6+ goals2.35%
Wins by 7+ goals0.69%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal6.08%
Wins by 2 goals1.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals22.24%
Wins by 3 goals16.08%
Wins by 4 goals9.11%
Wins by 5 goals4.23%
Wins by 6 goals1.65%
Wins by 7 goals0.55%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.48%4.52%
1.581.48%18.52%
2.559.81%40.19%
3.537.44%62.56%
4.520.12%79.88%
5.59.39%90.61%
6.53.86%96.14%
7.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.18%51.82%
1.514.11%85.89%
2.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.28%8.72%
1.570.00%30.00%
2.544.04%55.96%
3.522.95%77.05%
4.510.08%89.92%
5.53.81%96.19%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.16%23.84%
1.541.97%58.03%
2.517.47%82.53%
3.55.76%94.24%
4.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
4.52%
11.03%
13.45%
10.93%
6.67%
3.25%
1
2.97%
7.25%
8.84%
7.19%
4.38%
2.14%
2
0.98%
2.38%
2.91%
2.36%
1.44%
0.70%
3
0.21%
0.52%
0.64%
0.52%
0.32%
0.15%
Groningen
1-02.97%
2-00.98%
2-12.38%
3-00.21%
3-10.52%
3-20.64%
Draw
0-04.52%
1-17.25%
2-22.91%
3-30.52%
Ajax
0-111.03%
0-213.45%
1-28.84%
0-310.93%
1-37.19%
2-32.36%
0-46.67%
1-44.38%
2-41.44%
3-40.32%
0-53.25%
1-52.14%
2-50.70%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
23.84%
26.93%
15.20%
5.72%
1.62%
0.36%
1
7.26%
8.20%
4.63%
1.74%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.10%
1.25%
0.70%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-07.26%
2-01.10%
2-11.25%
3-00.11%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-023.84%
1-18.20%
2-20.70%
Ajax
0-126.93%
0-215.20%
1-24.63%
0-35.72%
1-31.74%
2-30.27%
0-41.62%
1-40.49%
0-50.36%
1-50.11%