Ajax at Sparta Rotterdam

Updated

Ajax

81.6%11.8%6.6%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.96Projected Goals 0.76
1Final Score 0

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Groningen-650
W 3-2 at Fortuna Sittard-415
T 2-2 at Vitesse-190
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-650
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
L 3-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+310
T 0-0 at Heerenveen+310
W 3-1 at Heracles Almelo+245
W 0-2 vs Zwolle+130
W 2-1 at Groningen+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-400-392-400-410-416-410-392-
Sparta Rotterdam+900+1167+900+1050+1000+1050+1167-
Draw+500+520+500+525+540+525+540-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-395-----400-400-
Sparta Rotterdam+1000----+1000+1000-
Draw+510----+525+525-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -381 to -392
Sparta Rotterdam ML moved from +1029 to +987

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta Rotterdam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
No Steam Moves On Sparta Rotterdam ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3½+110o3¼-120o3¼-120-o3¼-120o3¼-120-
Underu3¼-122u3½-125u3¼+100u3¼+100-u3¼+100u3½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.42%
Exactly 216.76%
Exactly 419.34%
Exactly 68.93%
Exactly 82.21%
Exactly 100.34%
 
Exactly 19.01%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 514.39%
Exactly 74.74%
Exactly 90.91%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.16%
Exactly 115.30%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.59%
Exactly 59.84%
Exactly 64.86%
Exactly 72.06%
Exactly 80.76%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 046.88%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.45%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.86%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 46.55%
Exactly 60.65%
 
Exactly 130.76%
Exactly 315.22%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 025.36%
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 310.92%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 070.42%
Exactly 124.70%
Exactly 24.33%
Exactly 30.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals62.67%
Wins by 3+ goals41.49%
Wins by 4+ goals23.59%
Wins by 5+ goals11.59%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals1.67%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.87%
Wins by 2 goals21.18%
Wins by 3 goals17.90%
Wins by 4 goals12.00%
Wins by 5 goals6.64%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal4.81%
Wins by 2 goals1.36%
Wins by 3 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.58%2.42%
1.588.57%11.43%
2.571.81%28.19%
3.551.02%48.98%
4.531.68%68.32%
5.517.29%82.71%
6.58.37%91.63%
7.53.62%96.38%
8.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.84%5.16%
1.579.53%20.47%
2.556.86%43.14%
3.534.46%65.54%
4.517.86%82.14%
5.58.03%91.97%
6.53.17%96.83%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.12%46.88%
1.517.60%82.40%
2.54.15%95.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.14%17.86%
1.551.38%48.62%
2.524.88%75.12%
3.59.66%90.34%
4.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Score0123
0
2.42%
1.83%
0.69%
0.18%
1
7.17%
5.43%
2.06%
0.52%
2
10.63%
8.05%
3.05%
0.77%
3
10.50%
7.95%
3.01%
0.76%
4
7.78%
5.89%
2.23%
0.56%
5
4.61%
3.49%
1.32%
0.33%
Ajax
1-07.17%
2-010.63%
2-18.05%
3-010.50%
3-17.95%
3-23.01%
4-07.78%
4-15.89%
4-22.23%
4-30.56%
5-04.61%
5-13.49%
5-21.32%
5-30.33%
Draw
0-02.42%
1-15.43%
2-23.05%
3-30.76%
4-40.11%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-11.83%
0-20.69%
1-22.06%
0-30.18%
1-30.52%
2-30.77%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Score0123
0
17.86%
6.26%
1.10%
0.13%
1
24.50%
8.59%
1.51%
0.18%
2
16.81%
5.90%
1.03%
0.12%
3
7.69%
2.70%
0.47%
0.06%
4
2.64%
0.92%
0.16%
0.02%
5
0.72%
0.25%
0.04%
0.01%
6
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.50%
2-016.81%
2-15.90%
3-07.69%
3-12.70%
3-20.47%
4-02.64%
4-10.92%
4-20.16%
5-00.72%
5-10.25%
6-00.17%
Draw
0-017.86%
1-18.59%
2-21.03%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-16.26%
0-21.10%
1-21.51%
0-30.13%
1-30.18%
2-30.12%