Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

8.1%15.2%76.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.44
1Final Score 6

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 0-3 at Twente+620
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+110
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk+160
L 1-0 vs Heracles Almelo-115
L 1-3 at Heerenveen+240
Ajax
Money Line
W 3-2 at Fortuna Sittard-415
T 2-2 at Vitesse-190
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-650
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-3 vs Zwolle-650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+1400+1559+1300+1500+1377+1500+1559-
Ajax-675-638-675-700-660-700-638-
Draw+700+808+700+800+760+800+808-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+1375----+1500+1500-
Ajax-650-----650-650-
Draw+750----+725+725-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +1437 to +1422
Ajax ML moved from -606 to -636

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Groningen ML
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-118-o3¾-122o4+100-o4+100o3¾-122-
Underu3½-102-u3¾+102u4-120-u4-120u4-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o3¾-113
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.52%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 417.32%
Exactly 65.53%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 114.00%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.72%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 051.82%
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 211.20%
Exactly 32.45%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 08.72%
Exactly 121.28%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.84%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 311.71%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 073.76%
Exactly 122.45%
Exactly 23.42%
Exactly 30.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 032.33%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals1.94%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals54.01%
Wins by 3+ goals31.77%
Wins by 4+ goals15.69%
Wins by 5+ goals6.58%
Wins by 6+ goals2.35%
Wins by 7+ goals0.69%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal6.08%
Wins by 2 goals1.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals22.24%
Wins by 3 goals16.08%
Wins by 4 goals9.11%
Wins by 5 goals4.23%
Wins by 6 goals1.65%
Wins by 7 goals0.55%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.48%4.52%
1.581.48%18.52%
2.559.81%40.19%
3.537.44%62.56%
4.520.12%79.88%
5.59.39%90.61%
6.53.86%96.14%
7.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.18%51.82%
1.514.11%85.89%
2.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.28%8.72%
1.570.00%30.00%
2.544.04%55.96%
3.522.95%77.05%
4.510.08%89.92%
5.53.81%96.19%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.16%23.84%
1.541.97%58.03%
2.517.47%82.53%
3.55.76%94.24%
4.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
4.52%
11.03%
13.45%
10.93%
6.67%
3.25%
1
2.97%
7.25%
8.84%
7.19%
4.38%
2.14%
2
0.98%
2.38%
2.91%
2.36%
1.44%
0.70%
3
0.21%
0.52%
0.64%
0.52%
0.32%
0.15%
Groningen
1-02.97%
2-00.98%
2-12.38%
3-00.21%
3-10.52%
3-20.64%
Draw
0-04.52%
1-17.25%
2-22.91%
3-30.52%
Ajax
0-111.03%
0-213.45%
1-28.84%
0-310.93%
1-37.19%
2-32.36%
0-46.67%
1-44.38%
2-41.44%
3-40.32%
0-53.25%
1-52.14%
2-50.70%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
23.84%
26.93%
15.20%
5.72%
1.62%
0.36%
1
7.26%
8.20%
4.63%
1.74%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.10%
1.25%
0.70%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-07.26%
2-01.10%
2-11.25%
3-00.11%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-023.84%
1-18.20%
2-20.70%
Ajax
0-126.93%
0-215.20%
1-24.63%
0-35.72%
1-31.74%
2-30.27%
0-41.62%
1-40.49%
0-50.36%
1-50.11%
Heerenveen at Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard at Twente