Willem II at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Willem II

27.3%25.3%47.4%
Willem II WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.55
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+2100
T 2-2 vs VVV-Venlo
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+110
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo+120
L 2-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1780
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1300
T 0-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+510
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+145
L 5-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+120
L 1-3 at Zwolle+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+200-+180+195-+189+189-
Heracles Almelo+125-+145+139-+144+145-
Draw+240-+225+240-+240+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+180----+180+180-
Heracles Almelo+140----+140+140-
Draw+260----+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +195 to +189
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +156 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Willem II ML
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115-o2½-108o2½+104-o2½+104o2½+104-
Underu3-105-u2½-112u2½-124-u2½-124u2½-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-120 to u2½-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.91%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 414.68%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.46%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.85%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 032.69%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 37.62%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 021.13%
Exactly 132.84%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 313.23%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 51.60%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.01%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 059.59%
Exactly 130.85%
Exactly 27.98%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 048.68%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.61%
Exactly 33.03%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals10.56%
Wins by 3+ goals3.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals24.09%
Wins by 3+ goals9.72%
Wins by 4+ goals3.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal16.68%
Wins by 2 goals7.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal23.20%
Wins by 2 goals14.36%
Wins by 3 goals6.56%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.09%6.91%
1.574.64%25.36%
2.549.97%50.03%
3.527.99%72.01%
4.513.31%86.69%
5.55.46%94.54%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.31%32.69%
1.530.76%69.24%
2.510.33%89.67%
3.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.87%21.13%
1.546.03%53.97%
2.520.50%79.50%
3.57.27%92.73%
4.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.99%29.01%
1.535.09%64.91%
2.512.87%87.13%
3.53.71%96.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
6.91%
10.74%
8.35%
4.33%
1.68%
0.52%
1
7.72%
12.00%
9.33%
4.84%
1.88%
0.58%
2
4.32%
6.71%
5.22%
2.70%
1.05%
0.33%
3
1.61%
2.50%
1.94%
1.01%
0.39%
0.12%
4
0.45%
0.70%
0.54%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.10%
0.16%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Willem II
1-07.72%
2-04.32%
2-16.71%
3-01.61%
3-12.50%
3-21.94%
4-00.45%
4-10.70%
4-20.54%
4-30.28%
5-00.10%
5-10.16%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-06.91%
1-112.00%
2-25.22%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.74%
0-28.35%
1-29.33%
0-34.33%
1-34.84%
2-32.70%
0-41.68%
1-41.88%
2-41.05%
3-40.39%
0-50.52%
1-50.58%
2-50.33%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
29.01%
20.88%
7.52%
1.80%
0.32%
1
15.02%
10.81%
3.89%
0.93%
0.17%
2
3.89%
2.80%
1.01%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.67%
0.48%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Willem II
1-015.02%
2-03.89%
2-12.80%
3-00.67%
3-10.48%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-029.01%
1-110.81%
2-21.01%
Heracles Almelo
0-120.88%
0-27.52%
1-23.89%
0-31.80%
1-30.93%
2-30.24%
0-40.32%
1-40.17%