Ajax at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Ajax

76.3%11.7%12.0%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.60Projected Goals 0.41
5Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-625
T 1-1 at Twente-390
W 3-1 at Vitesse-175
W 1-3 vs VVV-Venlo-950
W 3-0 at Feyenoord-190
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-1 at Heerenveen+360
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-130
W 1-2 vs Twente+190
L 1-2 at Willem II+390
T 3-3 vs Vitesse+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-550--700-700-758-700-700-566.3
Fortuna Sittard+1200-+1400+1600+1485+1600+1600+2120.2
Draw+600-+725+720+781+720+781+852.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-450-----800-800-566.3
Fortuna Sittard+1100----+1900+1900+2120.2
Draw+575----+775+775+852.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -741 to -758
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +1500 to +1400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -725 to -800
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +1700 to +1600

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o4+100o4-105-o4-105o4+110
Under-u4-120u4-115-u4-115u4-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+110
Under-----u4-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes31.1%
 
No68.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.91%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 416.88%
Exactly 65.11%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.79%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.18%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.39%
Exactly 119.25%
Exactly 225.07%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 414.18%
Exactly 57.39%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 066.42%
Exactly 127.18%
Exactly 25.56%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.77%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 311.22%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.93%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.78%
Exactly 38.76%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 082.74%
Exactly 115.68%
Exactly 21.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals63.38%
Wins by 3+ goals39.96%
Wins by 4+ goals21.21%
Wins by 5+ goals9.60%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.92%
Wins by 2 goals23.42%
Wins by 3 goals18.75%
Wins by 4 goals11.62%
Wins by 5 goals5.85%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal3.27%
Wins by 2 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.09%4.91%
1.580.30%19.70%
2.558.01%41.99%
3.535.60%64.40%
4.518.72%81.28%
5.58.54%91.46%
6.53.42%96.58%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.61%7.39%
1.573.36%26.64%
2.548.29%51.71%
3.526.51%73.49%
4.512.33%87.67%
5.54.94%95.06%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.533.58%66.42%
1.56.40%93.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.23%24.77%
1.540.67%59.33%
2.516.55%83.45%
3.55.32%94.68%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score012
0
4.91%
2.01%
0.41%
1
12.78%
5.23%
1.07%
2
16.65%
6.82%
1.39%
3
14.46%
5.92%
1.21%
4
9.42%
3.85%
0.79%
5
4.91%
2.01%
0.41%
Ajax
1-012.78%
2-016.65%
2-16.82%
3-014.46%
3-15.92%
3-21.21%
4-09.42%
4-13.85%
4-20.79%
4-30.11%
5-04.91%
5-12.01%
5-20.41%
Draw
0-04.91%
1-15.23%
2-21.39%
3-30.17%
Fortuna Sittard
0-12.01%
0-20.41%
1-21.07%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score012
0
24.77%
4.69%
0.44%
1
29.87%
5.66%
0.54%
2
18.02%
3.41%
0.32%
3
7.24%
1.37%
0.13%
4
2.18%
0.41%
0.04%
5
0.53%
0.10%
0.01%
6
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-029.87%
2-018.02%
2-13.41%
3-07.24%
3-11.37%
3-20.13%
4-02.18%
4-10.41%
5-00.53%
6-00.11%
Draw
0-024.77%
1-15.66%
2-20.32%
Fortuna Sittard
0-14.69%
0-20.44%
1-20.54%